@vinylether

#251,72051

0xf957bdf5a2ce60e0e60965efb3159e6f9ad1b37b

~43d· 17 markets · 395 tradesVol: $39,9032026-08-04 21:45:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (2/13)0/20
3.03x (win $184 / loss $61)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.08915/15
Sortino 21.63710/10
$+0.0646 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 7276 (13 markets)0/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($59 / $182)7.5/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+91
Lottery Player
95% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#18,956$92Vol: $39,843
🏛️ POLITICS#404,352$0Vol: $20
📈 ECONOMICS#176,936$0Vol: $20
💻 TECH#194,657$-1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$91
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,903
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
284B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$91
Vol: $39,903

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
2W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$91
Win Rate
15%
2W / 11L
Profit Factor
3.03x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (2.008092738407699% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$174
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10

Top Losers

Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-26
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-19
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-6
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-3
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-3
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-3
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$-1
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$-1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.204
Sortino
1.196
HHI
7829
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
88.4%
Top-5 markets
93.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
12.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1615s — normal for humanCV 12.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)3.9%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 7:25:52 AM5 trades$1,4633 min
4/24/2026, 3:17:42 AM7 trades$3090 min
4/20/2026, 4:26:38 PM12 trades$1131 min
4/10/2026, 10:34:21 PM1 trades$520 min
4/16/2026, 4:10:04 PM20 trades$5114 min
4/21/2026, 2:08:58 AM8 trades$490 min
4/17/2026, 5:36:12 PM1 trades$420 min
4/22/2026, 12:26:00 PM2 trades$391 min
4/22/2026, 11:43:48 AM3 trades$380 min
5/3/2026, 6:27:08 PM35 trades$255 min
4/24/2026, 3:23:52 AM3 trades$222 min
4/9/2026, 5:29:01 PM3 trades$213 min
4/18/2026, 7:15:10 AM4 trades$190 min
4/24/2026, 4:39:28 AM2 trades$180 min
4/20/2026, 5:06:18 PM3 trades$180 min
4/9/2026, 5:37:49 PM2 trades$140 min
4/21/2026, 2:14:14 AM3 trades$100 min
4/19/2026, 6:52:46 AM8 trades$96 min
4/24/2026, 3:09:10 AM1 trades$90 min
4/10/2026, 3:36:21 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-12
04-16
04-24
04-26
04-27
05-03
05-16
05-23
06-06
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.1 / M1.1 / H3.9