pepeAdam

@pepeAdam

#3,031,44930

0xf98b10bf885607f4c5d2ddbf6d1c5e661d5a57bb

~114d· 564 markets · 3384 tradesVol: $383,592 @AdamPepeX2026-08-04 15:07:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (322/555)14/20
0.61x (win $19,659 / loss $32,291)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3640/15
Sortino -3.4960/10
$-0.1209 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 111 (555 markets)10/10
58/106 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 1709% of peak ($13,418 / $785)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Whale
$104,447 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,734,430$-189Vol: $10,819
CRYPTO#1,641,920$-1,735Vol: $7,927
🎭 CULTURE#76,318$8Vol: $5,007
🏛️ POLITICS#132,197$20Vol: $4,752
💰 FINANCE#598,233$-21Vol: $538
💻 TECH#245,368$-58Vol: $345
📈 ECONOMICS#182,559$0Vol: $52
🌤️ WEATHER#103,088$0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$383,592
Total Redeem
$3,849
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
564
total markets
Trades
2261B / 1123S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $195
Week
$-207
Vol: $1,468
Month
$-1,646
Vol: $6,257
All Time
$-3,652
Vol: $383,592

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
322W / 233L events
Realized PnL
$-3,623
Win Rate
58%
322W / 233L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-155

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,847 (0.5096323160062045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$684
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)$588
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)$574
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$527
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$448
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)$420
Team Falcons to win 2-0?$406
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$316
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$272
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$272

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,937
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winner$-2,256
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-1,444
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$-1,440
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winner$-973
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$-915
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-701
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs$-636
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)$-630
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)$-614

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.135
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.116
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
16.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.3m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)76.9%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 10:31:04 AM33 trades$7,8786 min
5/10/2026, 11:01:41 AM6 trades$3,9198 min
5/19/2026, 9:14:04 AM8 trades$3,4736 min
6/1/2026, 12:48:35 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
5/10/2026, 9:22:50 AM28 trades$2,99110 min
7/10/2026, 3:50:47 PM2 trades$2,7510 min
6/29/2026, 7:06:25 AM12 trades$2,5482 min
8/1/2026, 5:52:24 PM31 trades$2,2016 min
5/10/2026, 2:16:52 PM29 trades$2,03710 min
6/29/2026, 1:02:04 PM3 trades$1,5265 min
6/1/2026, 12:12:25 PM8 trades$1,3184 min
5/12/2026, 6:29:36 PM23 trades$1,28017 min
6/18/2026, 3:01:23 PM19 trades$1,00317 min
6/22/2026, 7:09:34 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/11/2026, 11:36:23 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/24/2026, 1:17:23 PM22 trades$9977 min
12/14/2025, 9:35:11 PM2 trades$9760 min
6/6/2026, 1:22:00 PM21 trades$96714 min
1/18/2026, 8:32:16 PM31 trades$95119 min
6/7/2026, 1:37:31 AM3 trades$9310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
12-14
03-27
05-27
06-17
07-06
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 267 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M19.6 / H76.9