@Ellaaaaaa

#2,961,46719

0xf9a277772a70381921e2d27d3a06e75ba95640c4

~16d· 42 markets · 293 tradesVol: $79,5082026-08-04 23:12:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (19/39)9.4/20
0.76x (win $4,132 / loss $5,414)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5700/15
Sortino -4.2500/10
$-0.0528 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1090 (39 markets)7/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 11964% of peak ($1,821 / $15)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,848,181$-1,678Vol: $59,158
🏛️ POLITICS#25,631$558Vol: $14,897
💰 FINANCE#639,926$-165Vol: $2,606
📈 ECONOMICS#15,141$70Vol: $1,735
🌤️ WEATHER#290,257$-182Vol: $836
🎭 CULTURE#44,194$25Vol: $225
₿ CRYPTO#1,010,906$-4Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,376
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,508
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
83B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,376
Vol: $79,508

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
19W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-1,376
Win Rate
50%
19W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$217
Avg Loss
$-285

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,224 (1.6155858120577167% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1,228
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$526
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$470
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$463
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$450
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$421
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$133
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$113
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$65

Top Losers

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-800
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-800
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-728
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-600
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez$-400
Morocco to score first vs. Haiti?$-400
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-348
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?$-264
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-249
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.243
HHI
1534
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.5%
Top-5 markets
66.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 488s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)13.3%
High (>55c)81.9%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 9:01:58 PM16 trades$14,0352 min
4/12/2026, 10:56:37 PM5 trades$2,4640 min
6/25/2026, 11:45:53 AM17 trades$2,0854 min
6/24/2026, 9:07:41 PM12 trades$1,9892 min
6/24/2026, 11:51:38 PM2 trades$1,9740 min
6/21/2026, 3:25:32 PM11 trades$1,7550 min
6/24/2026, 10:40:16 PM14 trades$1,5111 min
7/1/2026, 2:07:43 PM5 trades$1,4450 min
6/21/2026, 1:40:23 PM6 trades$1,1920 min
4/12/2026, 10:41:29 PM14 trades$1,0511 min
6/13/2026, 6:03:57 PM6 trades$1,0191 min
7/21/2026, 5:03:00 PM10 trades$9880 min
6/24/2026, 9:00:29 PM10 trades$9141 min
6/27/2026, 6:14:56 PM2 trades$8640 min
6/24/2026, 10:22:49 PM6 trades$7410 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:36 PM2 trades$6720 min
6/22/2026, 11:47:52 AM9 trades$6420 min
4/26/2026, 9:44:30 AM9 trades$6261 min
6/24/2026, 8:52:01 PM4 trades$5812 min
7/1/2026, 12:03:47 AM7 trades$5560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-08
04-13
06-13
06-24
06-26
06-29
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
7.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M13.3 / H81.9