@oecon

#2,182,71616

0xf9eb7b45fa429a6733ac913c499da36ba426c7b3

~14d· 37 markets · 137 tradesVol: $4,0012026-08-05 19:14:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (13/36)3.1/20
0.88x (win $145 / loss $164)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2880/15
Sortino -2.0380/10
$-0.0633 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 607 (36 markets)9.5/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($89 / $69)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#277,374$-53Vol: $3,217
SPORTS#231,262$20Vol: $491
🏛️ POLITICS#282,419$2Vol: $116
CRYPTO#1,099,902$-7Vol: $105
🎭 CULTURE#110,671$3Vol: $55
💰 FINANCE#58,933$9Vol: $17

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,001
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
66B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-28
Vol: $4,001

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
13W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-28
Win Rate
36%
13W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (3.275524981897176% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?$14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?$14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 9?$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 8?$7
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?$6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?$5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8?$4
No one announced as next James Bond?$3

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 10?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 11?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 9?$-17
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 10?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 8?$-10
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 9?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.169
HHI
540
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
42.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 942s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 8:24:13 PM15 trades$734 min
6/7/2026, 7:34:00 PM20 trades$652 min
5/25/2026, 4:12:51 PM2 trades$600 min
6/8/2026, 10:47:09 PM11 trades$5511 min
5/31/2026, 9:34:33 PM2 trades$340 min
5/23/2026, 2:41:00 PM2 trades$280 min
5/19/2026, 10:37:04 AM3 trades$250 min
5/23/2026, 3:16:19 PM4 trades$212 min
6/7/2026, 7:45:13 PM5 trades$160 min
6/9/2026, 5:04:54 AM4 trades$150 min
6/9/2026, 2:19:00 PM2 trades$150 min
6/21/2026, 7:12:05 PM2 trades$150 min
6/10/2026, 8:43:25 AM2 trades$150 min
6/8/2026, 7:14:33 PM3 trades$150 min
6/8/2026, 8:00:43 PM2 trades$150 min
6/9/2026, 2:12:57 PM2 trades$150 min
6/9/2026, 10:12:21 PM3 trades$150 min
6/7/2026, 8:16:12 PM11 trades$127 min
5/26/2026, 12:32:55 PM2 trades$100 min
6/7/2026, 8:08:58 PM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
05-24
05-26
05-31
06-08
06-10
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
69.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47 / M10.6 / H42.4