@0xfAe64c…0786

#2,438,1980

0xfae64c40781d52664265c24a0ea6262c35434f84

~20d· 25 markets · 96 tradesVol: $6,4942026-08-04 21:03:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (3/13)0/20
0.08x (win $9 / loss $111)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.1360/15
Sortino -12.3900/10
$-0.2078 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6947 (13 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($102 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#111,090$3Vol: $2,160
📈 ECONOMICS#68,688$3Vol: $1,201
💻 TECH#22,907$6Vol: $1,192
🏛️ POLITICS#609,537$-0Vol: $837
🌤️ WEATHER#287,156$-122Vol: $492
⚽ SPORTS#175,381$44Vol: $371
💰 FINANCE#457,806$-1Vol: $240

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,494
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
69B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $15
Week
$3
Vol: $382
Month
$2
Vol: $397
All Time
$-67
Vol: $6,494

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
3W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-74
Win Rate
23%
3W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (0.1156224791610648% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$6
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays$1
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers$1

Top Losers

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$-46
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$-25
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-18
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?$-6
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$-5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays$-2
Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-0$-1
Will the Blue Jays beat the Dodgers 4-1$-1
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.782
Sortino
-0.817
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.867
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
20.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
56.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3386s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)37.7%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 5:50:01 PM8 trades$8220 min
7/15/2026, 3:55:05 AM3 trades$2430 min
7/22/2026, 11:27:09 AM7 trades$1454 min
7/13/2026, 5:00:11 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/23/2026, 6:55:10 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 10:52:41 AM2 trades$1000 min
8/2/2026, 1:12:24 AM3 trades$380 min
7/14/2026, 3:10:31 AM5 trades$331 min
7/23/2026, 1:41:48 PM2 trades$300 min
10/23/2025, 5:52:27 PM5 trades$293 min
7/15/2026, 2:16:35 PM1 trades$270 min
3/23/2026, 3:54:53 AM2 trades$220 min
4/7/2026, 7:47:17 PM1 trades$220 min
7/31/2026, 11:40:47 PM2 trades$220 min
7/21/2026, 9:40:37 AM1 trades$170 min
7/22/2026, 1:41:55 AM1 trades$130 min
7/24/2026, 10:13:45 AM1 trades$130 min
7/14/2026, 4:32:17 AM2 trades$120 min
7/14/2026, 8:09:22 AM1 trades$100 min
7/22/2026, 7:26:49 PM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
10-24
03-23
04-07
07-14
07-21
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
7.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.8 / M14.5 / H37.7