@xinxun

#1,767,84033

0xfa0a14f3c4e8303eeed417793bb95da40bde043a

~44d· 65 markets · 94 tradesVol: $26,6882026-08-05 18:26:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (39/65)15/20
0.93x (win $117 / loss $126)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3480/15
Sortino -0.3950/10
$-0.0043 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 244 (65 markets)10/10
25/44 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 192% of peak ($79 / $41)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,228,865$-16Vol: $5,258
⚽ SPORTS#299,157$8Vol: $138

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,688
Total Redeem
$67
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
84B / 10S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
39W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
60%
39W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (4.6882494004796165% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8AM ET$30
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET$5
Utah Utes vs. BYU Cougars$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 13?$4
USC Upstate Spartans vs. High Point Panthers$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$4
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?$3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?$3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 19?$3

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?$-64
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?$-5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 30?$-4
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$-4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?$-3
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 12?$-3
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 29?$-3
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 27?$-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?$-3
Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.018
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15680s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.45
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 5:38:43 PM5 trades$850 min
7/9/2026, 9:33:20 PM2 trades$830 min
5/10/2026, 9:33:33 AM2 trades$800 min
1/23/2026, 4:16:34 PM2 trades$714 min
1/20/2026, 6:31:28 AM1 trades$700 min
1/21/2026, 5:03:26 PM2 trades$700 min
1/24/2026, 5:45:12 AM1 trades$690 min
1/25/2026, 10:39:28 AM2 trades$690 min
1/26/2026, 1:48:53 PM2 trades$690 min
1/19/2026, 10:54:34 AM1 trades$680 min
1/27/2026, 10:25:37 AM1 trades$680 min
1/18/2026, 5:39:24 AM2 trades$670 min
3/31/2026, 3:23:53 PM1 trades$660 min
1/28/2026, 9:42:37 AM2 trades$652 min
1/29/2026, 2:27:22 PM2 trades$651 min
1/31/2026, 7:00:38 AM1 trades$640 min
1/30/2026, 5:59:26 AM2 trades$630 min
3/26/2026, 5:52:41 PM1 trades$620 min
5/15/2026, 3:53:45 AM1 trades$610 min
1/17/2026, 10:13:12 PM2 trades$610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
01-11
01-19
01-27
03-14
03-28
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31 / M0 / H69