doublehousebtc

@doublehousebtc

#175,91077

0xfa0e512b10c111143c12a344dcae4f8d4787869f

~15d· 11 markets · 74 tradesVol: $12,518 @DoubleHouseBTC2026-08-04 21:39:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (6/11)12.3/20
2.77x (win $322 / loss $116)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.86615/15
Sortino 25.52610/10
$+0.0423 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 1699 (11 markets)4/10
6/8 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($54 / $206)8.7/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+196
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Consistent
6/8 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#79,109$133Vol: $11,465
📈 ECONOMICS#16,011$63Vol: $1,053

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$196
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,518
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
21B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
6W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$196
Win Rate
55%
6W / 5L
Profit Factor
2.77x
Avg Win
$54
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $233 (1.1926319554442797% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$89
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$81
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$63
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$52
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?$20
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$17

Top Losers

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-54
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-32
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-22
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$-5
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.630
Sortino
0.713
HHI
1609
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
4.0%
Half-Kelly
2.0%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
84.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
65%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)65% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)38.1%
High (>55c)57.1%

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 11:11:31 AM3 trades$1,0554 min
12/4/2025, 1:21:17 PM1 trades$9900 min
3/3/2026, 1:59:35 AM2 trades$8173 min
2/26/2026, 8:47:44 AM1 trades$5950 min
2/11/2026, 1:22:41 PM1 trades$5830 min
2/7/2026, 1:27:05 PM1 trades$5010 min
2/24/2026, 3:42:44 AM1 trades$4450 min
1/5/2026, 2:57:07 AM1 trades$3770 min
1/6/2026, 3:38:37 AM2 trades$3504 min
6/24/2026, 2:42:53 AM4 trades$3050 min
6/24/2026, 12:45:07 PM1 trades$3040 min
2/8/2026, 2:26:03 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/19/2026, 3:27:02 PM2 trades$2143 min
2/10/2026, 3:17:07 AM1 trades$2000 min
2/26/2026, 9:45:44 AM1 trades$1740 min
2/25/2026, 7:37:42 AM2 trades$1275 min
2/26/2026, 10:55:34 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/11/2026, 1:30:39 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/5/2026, 2:45:31 AM1 trades$990 min
1/21/2026, 8:18:20 AM3 trades$993 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
01-21
02-07
02-23
02-24
02-25
03-03
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M38.1 / H57.1