P0lySniper

@P0lySniper

#1,775,26551

0xfac12bbf63f28b986db480a131e9089c334a182b

~13d· 25 markets · 116 tradesVol: $6,1522026-08-04 23:36:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (13/22)14.5/20
1.14x (win $72 / loss $63)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.06315/15
Sortino 2.16110/10
$+0.0411 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 5444 (22 markets)0/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($36 / $45)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,091,791$-4Vol: $6,119
CRYPTO#574,133$0Vol: $26
💰 FINANCE#545,616$-5Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,152
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
51B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9
Vol: $6,152

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
13W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-9
Win Rate
59%
13W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37 (4.270396270396271% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$14
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?$12
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$11
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$8
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?$7
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$5
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?$5
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-30
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-9
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-9
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-7
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.123
HHI
1263
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
55.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.34
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6336s — normal for humanCV 0.34 — uniform order sizes6% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)78.4%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 8:49:16 AM15 trades$8600 min
6/25/2026, 8:54:49 AM12 trades$5720 min
6/21/2026, 8:50:38 AM5 trades$1360 min
6/7/2026, 8:00:33 PM15 trades$473 min
6/7/2026, 3:05:30 PM4 trades$150 min
6/7/2026, 8:26:49 PM3 trades$150 min
5/17/2026, 9:02:21 PM2 trades$110 min
5/17/2026, 9:12:42 PM2 trades$110 min
6/6/2026, 8:01:25 AM4 trades$100 min
6/8/2026, 12:30:48 PM4 trades$100 min
6/7/2026, 8:43:31 PM2 trades$100 min
6/7/2026, 2:20:43 PM2 trades$100 min
6/21/2026, 11:26:47 AM4 trades$100 min
6/21/2026, 11:21:25 PM2 trades$100 min
6/24/2026, 3:02:14 AM3 trades$100 min
6/25/2026, 8:00:22 AM4 trades$100 min
6/23/2026, 7:44:55 PM2 trades$80 min
6/8/2026, 12:02:43 PM4 trades$60 min
6/26/2026, 4:49:07 PM1 trades$60 min
6/21/2026, 6:01:23 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-07
06-08
06-09
06-11
06-21
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M5.9 / H78.4