@0xfb19e5…7179
#2,120,826150xfb19e58f0a6c42b3c6b4523aa784f560e2de81ed
~45d· 35 markets · 166 tradesVol: $1,7642026-08-04 22:49:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (9/22)5.5/20
0.62x (win $106 / loss $171)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7320/15
Sortino -4.9280/10
$-0.1690 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 965 (22 markets)7.7/10
7/18 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 673% of peak ($77 / $11)0/10
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,295,605$-11Vol: $1,302
📈 ECONOMICS#90,047$2Vol: $253
⚽ SPORTS#1,395,205$-13Vol: $208
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,764
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
68B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $33
Month
$3
Vol: $105
All Time
$-23
Vol: $1,764
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
9W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
41%
9W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (4.155545735749006% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$6
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$4
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$1
Top Losers
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-24
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-20
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-10
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-8
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-8
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.190
Sortino
-0.282
HHI
566
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.188
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
42.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.7h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3880s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.2%
High (>55c)66.2%
Sessions
#127/25/2026, 5:52:10 PM4 trades$730 min
4/2/2026, 11:55:45 AM2 trades$630 min
7/11/2026, 4:53:26 PM6 trades$554 min
7/25/2026, 6:14:51 PM10 trades$470 min
5/30/2026, 5:46:27 PM5 trades$445 min
6/13/2026, 12:35:39 PM9 trades$444 min
6/27/2026, 3:37:25 PM8 trades$433 min
7/31/2026, 12:57:08 PM2 trades$380 min
8/1/2026, 6:53:53 AM2 trades$380 min
7/17/2026, 8:06:01 PM4 trades$373 min
6/15/2026, 2:31:16 AM2 trades$310 min
6/9/2026, 4:34:24 PM4 trades$290 min
6/12/2026, 3:17:06 AM3 trades$280 min
4/8/2026, 3:29:01 PM2 trades$270 min
4/10/2026, 3:08:09 PM2 trades$270 min
7/15/2026, 4:09:08 PM2 trades$260 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:22 AM5 trades$240 min
7/1/2026, 8:20:26 AM5 trades$222 min
6/16/2026, 2:20:25 AM2 trades$200 min
8/2/2026, 2:35:44 AM4 trades$180 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
04-10
04-24
05-05
06-13
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.6 / M13.2 / H66.2