@swallows
#54,000180xfb2b09655c927d593b95d428f881aa2fa1af96db
~32d· 244 markets · 1104 tradesVol: $34,1922026-08-04 22:59:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (44/117)3.8/20
0.65x (win $506 / loss $773)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7560/15
Sortino -5.5980/10
$-0.0380 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 293 (117 markets)10/10
9/20 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 1288% of peak ($293 / $23)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+1,914
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#135,774$79Vol: $21,330
🏛️ POLITICS#11,935$1,927Vol: $5,033
💰 FINANCE#629,183$-87Vol: $3,251
🎭 CULTURE#669,722$-8Vol: $1,323
₿ CRYPTO#944,672$-2Vol: $483
📈 ECONOMICS#463,389$-1Vol: $266
🌤️ WEATHER#173,388$-0Vol: $75
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,914
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,192
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
244
total markets
Trades
589B / 515S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $499
Week
$-5
Vol: $500
Month
$-182
Vol: $500
All Time
$1,914
Vol: $34,192
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
44W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$1,914
Win Rate
38%
44W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $309 (0.1613980270033023% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$212
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$55
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$42
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$19
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$19
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$11
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10
Top Losers
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?$-387
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-104
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$-74
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-58
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-17
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$-15
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$-14
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.294
Sortino
-0.240
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
11%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
47.8m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)79.8%
Sessions
#127/4/2026, 3:18:04 PM82 trades$2,3459 min
7/4/2026, 3:07:04 PM16 trades$1,4696 min
7/31/2026, 7:15:15 PM67 trades$60711 min
7/4/2026, 11:12:59 PM13 trades$5032 min
7/4/2026, 3:39:40 PM29 trades$3816 min
7/31/2026, 5:49:26 AM34 trades$3751 min
7/4/2026, 3:32:20 PM17 trades$3650 min
7/4/2026, 9:36:02 PM31 trades$3507 min
6/29/2026, 9:20:20 AM34 trades$3423 min
7/31/2026, 6:47:39 AM18 trades$28023 min
6/29/2026, 12:21:23 AM16 trades$2742 min
6/29/2026, 12:44:55 AM14 trades$2720 min
7/31/2026, 2:36:17 PM22 trades$2672 min
7/20/2026, 11:19:54 AM4 trades$2000 min
7/31/2026, 5:32:42 PM5 trades$1640 min
6/29/2026, 9:07:04 AM17 trades$1600 min
6/29/2026, 9:42:52 AM32 trades$1472 min
7/31/2026, 3:57:21 PM12 trades$1211 min
7/3/2026, 12:53:19 AM2 trades$1160 min
7/2/2026, 10:13:55 PM12 trades$1143 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
04-10
06-21
06-30
07-04
07-19
07-31
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M10.2 / H79.8