@decaflatte

#104,94074

0xfb2c67986a86ab84e705904b308a1b1bc38a6bf7

~48d· 29 markets · 260 tradesVol: $58,6942026-08-05 04:19:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (13/24)12.1/20
2.03x (win $3,239 / loss $1,593)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.01315/15
Sortino 7.41610/10
$+0.2345 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1089 (24 markets)7.1/10
10/21 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($1,306 / $1,646)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+619
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#6,781$280Vol: $27,600
🏛️ POLITICS#30,229$410Vol: $16,089
🎭 CULTURE#811,988$-1,239Vol: $6,678
💻 TECH#1,483$922Vol: $5,708
💰 FINANCE#586,526$-15Vol: $1,656
📢 MENTIONS#3,497$254Vol: $763
🌤️ WEATHER#27,557$7Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$619
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,694
Total Redeem
$300
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
199B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-18
Vol: $0
All Time
$619
Vol: $58,694

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
13W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$619
Win Rate
54%
13W / 11L
Profit Factor
2.03x
Avg Win
$249
Avg Loss
$-159

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,460 (3.9749099310144267% of PnL)

Top Winners

TikTok sale announced in 2025?$985
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$792
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$683
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$213
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$138
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$116
Will Warsh say "Dual Mandate" during June Press Conference?$92
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$67
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$60
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?$48

Top Losers

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-806
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-423
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-105
TikTok sale announced by September 30?$-86
Trump out as President in 2025?$-67
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$-39
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-37
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$-16
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-9
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.205
Sortino
0.303
HHI
714
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.260
Kelly %
23.2%
Half-Kelly
11.6%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
50.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 395s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.3%
Mid (20-55c)36.7%
High (>55c)12.1%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 9:59:44 AM5 trades$7160 min
11/14/2025, 1:55:08 PM1 trades$6600 min
10/30/2025, 5:34:59 PM1 trades$6080 min
5/15/2026, 7:58:27 AM2 trades$5000 min
4/9/2026, 6:07:31 PM5 trades$4910 min
5/16/2026, 12:18:07 PM3 trades$4870 min
10/31/2025, 4:21:11 PM2 trades$4803 min
11/14/2025, 2:46:12 PM1 trades$4400 min
5/16/2026, 12:26:05 PM9 trades$4397 min
4/9/2026, 5:24:35 PM2 trades$4260 min
9/22/2025, 5:34:44 PM3 trades$4192 min
9/22/2025, 4:23:58 PM1 trades$3790 min
3/19/2026, 3:47:35 PM1 trades$3330 min
5/18/2026, 2:31:56 PM10 trades$3241 min
4/7/2026, 5:53:17 PM2 trades$3000 min
4/15/2026, 10:42:38 AM2 trades$3000 min
11/1/2025, 6:39:25 PM1 trades$2660 min
11/27/2025, 4:46:55 PM1 trades$2630 min
9/25/2025, 8:24:06 AM12 trades$2504 min
5/19/2026, 7:09:51 AM4 trades$2501 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-17
10-02
11-14
12-02
04-15
05-18
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.3 / M36.7 / H12.1