@0xfb87…2fcf
160xfb87143e6b890f04ff78487d2660fbbf51fa2fcf
~45d· 74 markets · 207 trades2026-08-05 00:10:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (22/62)2.7/20
0.93x (win $219 / loss $235)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4140/15
Sortino -0.4730/10
$-0.0114 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 946 (62 markets)7.8/10
13/29 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($160 / $120)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+13
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,431
Total Redeem
$50
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
164B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
22W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$13
Win Rate
35%
22W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $97 (7.5571205007824735% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$30
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$17
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$13
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$12
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?$12
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$11
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?$7
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 14?$7
Top Losers
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$-117
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?$-19
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$-15
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 16?$-9
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?$-8
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$-6
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$-6
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?$-5
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$-4
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.019
HHI
644
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
47.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.84
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)57.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.8%
High (>55c)32.3%
Sessions
#123/2/2026, 6:45:29 PM2 trades$2220 min
6/21/2026, 10:04:43 AM12 trades$1703 min
2/27/2026, 1:03:58 AM3 trades$1591 min
3/12/2026, 7:49:35 AM1 trades$1450 min
2/28/2026, 9:11:09 PM4 trades$985 min
6/11/2026, 9:22:24 PM2 trades$930 min
6/11/2026, 5:40:42 AM2 trades$920 min
6/28/2026, 8:25:19 PM3 trades$750 min
7/6/2026, 8:43:32 PM2 trades$750 min
2/4/2026, 11:26:50 AM1 trades$710 min
1/18/2026, 8:27:32 PM1 trades$650 min
6/15/2026, 6:58:46 PM4 trades$650 min
5/18/2026, 6:04:54 AM8 trades$487 min
2/24/2026, 8:37:16 PM3 trades$461 min
2/23/2026, 8:47:12 PM1 trades$450 min
4/18/2026, 9:22:26 PM2 trades$390 min
1/2/2026, 7:15:25 PM5 trades$373 min
4/18/2026, 9:37:56 PM8 trades$335 min
2/11/2026, 7:12:03 AM2 trades$313 min
4/29/2026, 8:50:30 PM2 trades$300 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
01-11
01-18
02-10
02-23
03-12
05-17
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 99 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
30% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.84/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.9 / M9.8 / H32.3