@litlkiwii

#2,676,59917

0xfcbd33d9df44a5e33976e6d2675886a773fe2e3b

~17d· 95 markets · 442 tradesVol: $19,6472026-08-04 20:20:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (49/94)11.1/20
0.97x (win $567 / loss $585)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3900/15
Sortino -0.6000/10
$-0.0175 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2426 (94 markets)0.4/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($191 / $172)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,500,379$-130Vol: $11,112
SPORTS#1,580,269$-46Vol: $8,161
📈 ECONOMICS#360,337$-0Vol: $179
🏛️ POLITICS#206,055$6Vol: $163
💰 FINANCE#237,192$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,647
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
201B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-170
Vol: $19,647

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
48W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-170
Win Rate
52%
48W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $373 (2.198680956306678% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$149
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$124
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$100
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$30
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5$28
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$13
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 1.5$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$9

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-159
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$-111
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins$-82
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-36
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5 Corners$-20
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-11
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-11
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$-9
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.020
Sortino
-0.024
HHI
973
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.2%
Top-5 markets
56.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1195s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency4.5 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.21
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.8%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)44.3%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 5:34:58 PM89 trades$5,7744 min
6/24/2026, 12:54:05 AM11 trades$3,6110 min
6/23/2026, 10:59:46 PM37 trades$2,7915 min
6/25/2026, 3:05:02 AM9 trades$4080 min
6/24/2026, 2:06:04 AM15 trades$1765 min
6/23/2026, 2:34:02 AM8 trades$1251 min
7/6/2026, 4:52:37 AM4 trades$840 min
7/11/2026, 10:53:23 PM3 trades$760 min
6/24/2026, 8:53:47 PM2 trades$760 min
6/24/2026, 4:44:41 PM6 trades$700 min
6/23/2026, 2:01:38 PM4 trades$702 min
6/23/2026, 10:15:53 PM2 trades$670 min
7/10/2026, 7:40:50 PM10 trades$621 min
6/24/2026, 9:15:14 PM8 trades$553 min
6/24/2026, 12:12:50 AM8 trades$533 min
6/23/2026, 1:45:34 AM4 trades$511 min
7/11/2026, 9:37:07 PM9 trades$514 min
6/23/2026, 12:55:50 AM2 trades$400 min
6/25/2026, 5:56:08 PM6 trades$403 min
6/24/2026, 7:39:08 AM4 trades$351 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-29
07-02
07-06
07-08
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.8 / M23.9 / H44.3