@ascetic0x

#1,69639

0xfcbecc7e5186e88e03445b81f593685d62828f44

~153d· 2587 markets · 17536 tradesVol: $11,500,836 @ascetic0x2026-08-04 16:19:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (2219/2587)20/20
0.89x (win $361,277 / loss $404,468)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7210/15
Sortino -1.0400/10
$-0.0124 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 123 (2587 markets)10/10
92/146 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 145% of peak ($189,869 / $130,793)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+114,399
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Whale
$3,487,260 invested
Consistent
92/146 profitable days
High Roller
$8,873/day
Win Streak
45 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#284$115,922Vol: $11,150,770
SPORTS#1,832,667$-1,112Vol: $250,815
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,687$-664Vol: $56,714
💰 FINANCE#10,008$288Vol: $33,060
📈 ECONOMICS#625,749$-20Vol: $9,000
🌤️ WEATHER#256,037$-16Vol: $389
🎭 CULTURE#210,155$0Vol: $74
📢 MENTIONS#50,889$0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$114,399
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,500,836
Total Redeem
$23,274
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2587
total markets
Trades
10582B / 6954S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$114,399
Vol: $11,500,836

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
2219W / 368L events
Realized PnL
$114,399
Win Rate
86%
2219W / 368L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$163
Avg Loss
$-1,313

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $92,874 (0.8118456497660509% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?$54,371
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?$20,303
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?$18,201
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?$11,176
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$8,601
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$8,282
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$6,064
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$6,023
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5,704
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5,182

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$-34,190
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?$-21,547
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 6?$-20,449
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?$-15,639
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?$-15,049
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2PM ET$-11,725
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?$-11,713
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?$-10,694
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 14?$-10,290
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9AM ET$-9,525

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
13.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.6
Active
Markets / Day
6.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.0m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency6.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
2/2/2026, 12:01:12 PM116 trades$116,64258 min
2/2/2026, 2:34:18 PM602 trades$115,10772 min
2/16/2026, 8:31:07 PM17 trades$89,70325 min
2/8/2026, 3:11:37 AM96 trades$87,45265 min
2/8/2026, 2:27:05 PM60 trades$82,16940 min
2/17/2026, 10:36:09 AM40 trades$63,05024 min
2/13/2026, 4:06:31 PM4 trades$57,7907 min
2/17/2026, 11:48:11 AM17 trades$53,69017 min
12/10/2025, 5:35:06 PM1 trades$49,7800 min
3/22/2026, 6:59:01 PM30 trades$41,87727 min
2/15/2026, 10:04:55 AM12 trades$41,05612 min
2/20/2026, 12:03:56 PM47 trades$40,54224 min
2/17/2026, 2:08:19 PM21 trades$36,4969 min
2/2/2026, 1:04:54 PM69 trades$36,10614 min
2/16/2026, 3:29:55 PM10 trades$35,36614 min
2/13/2026, 4:23:49 PM6 trades$35,2215 min
2/16/2026, 2:40:37 PM6 trades$33,42910 min
3/2/2026, 11:14:33 PM27 trades$32,96031 min
1/14/2026, 4:59:46 PM34 trades$32,89014 min
2/2/2026, 2:04:44 PM66 trades$31,58211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
12-10
02-23
03-19
05-03
06-13
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 118 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7 / M24.2 / H68.8