elmarh

@elmarh

#79,70153

0xfcbeff0cc68f1f304c1b1ed496344433f504b37c

~52d· 138 markets · 1166 tradesVol: $102,951 @cwapzero2026-08-05 05:03:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (44/138)0.9/20
1.40x (win $4,795 / loss $3,432)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.01715/15
Sortino 3.07810/10
$+0.0949 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 548 (138 markets)9.8/10
20/45 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($1,903 / $2,938)1/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,034
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#5,166$961Vol: $94,004
SPORTS#1,148,213$-3Vol: $6,387
CRYPTO#417,057$1Vol: $1,695
📈 ECONOMICS#55,056$6Vol: $181

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,034
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,951
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
138
total markets
Trades
346B / 820S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,034
Vol: $102,951

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
44W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$1,034
Win Rate
32%
44W / 94L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$109
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,472 (2.3898062570091656% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1,098
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$727
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$647
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$638
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$366
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$259
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega$235
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$152
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$113
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$54

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-978
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-670
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-239
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-225
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-165
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-137
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-133
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-88
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-77
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.120
HHI
729
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
52.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 642s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.3%
Mid (20-55c)44.2%
High (>55c)20.5%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 4:54:08 PM34 trades$1,7401 min
7/6/2026, 2:02:04 AM37 trades$1,5132 min
4/28/2026, 3:59:40 PM2 trades$1,3450 min
4/27/2026, 6:49:08 AM31 trades$1,3127 min
4/27/2026, 8:07:04 PM4 trades$1,2524 min
7/8/2026, 3:16:40 PM24 trades$1,0550 min
4/27/2026, 9:21:26 PM20 trades$1,0290 min
7/5/2026, 10:58:29 PM13 trades$9940 min
7/7/2026, 11:32:46 AM22 trades$9300 min
4/29/2026, 12:13:08 PM16 trades$9150 min
4/24/2026, 4:26:30 PM6 trades$8681 min
7/3/2026, 8:43:16 AM9 trades$8580 min
7/7/2026, 1:02:23 AM14 trades$7430 min
4/30/2026, 4:35:34 PM24 trades$6915 min
4/26/2026, 1:47:22 AM15 trades$6670 min
5/1/2026, 1:18:08 PM8 trades$6230 min
4/27/2026, 1:53:10 PM12 trades$6230 min
7/6/2026, 5:40:10 PM17 trades$6180 min
7/5/2026, 5:46:19 PM11 trades$6040 min
4/29/2026, 9:22:14 AM6 trades$5920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-13
04-10
04-29
06-30
07-09
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.3 / M44.2 / H20.5