@cassianvale63-se

#323,59771

0xfcde2d01d694bffd6ff180749e7783f34c3a9bd9

~50d· 61 markets · 373 tradesVol: $2,9972026-08-04 19:48:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (25/44)13.4/20
1.62x (win $203 / loss $125)10.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.28915/15
Sortino 6.04210/10
$+0.0630 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 475 (44 markets)10/10
17/26 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($62 / $78)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+46
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Consistent
17/26 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,385,945$-49Vol: $817
SPORTS#205,107$28Vol: $806
💰 FINANCE#22,650$66Vol: $582
🏛️ POLITICS#173,865$10Vol: $345
📈 ECONOMICS#48,145$8Vol: $159
🎭 CULTURE#613,304$-3Vol: $145
🌤️ WEATHER#239,051$-8Vol: $73
💻 TECH#41,943$1Vol: $54

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$46
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,997
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
301B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $5
Month
$-4
Vol: $5
All Time
$46
Vol: $2,997

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
25W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$46
Win Rate
57%
25W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $95 (2.0514089051408906% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$67
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$16
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$13
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$12
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$11
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$11
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?$10
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanen$7
Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhu$6

Top Losers

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$-19
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$-17
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$-17
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$-16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$-11
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$-10
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-8
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$-7
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs$-5
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.169
Sortino
0.247
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.136
Kelly %
22.9%
Half-Kelly
11.5%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1884s — normal for humanCV 0.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)50.5%
High (>55c)39.2%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 4:45:31 PM6 trades$690 min
7/27/2026, 4:35:01 PM12 trades$680 min
7/26/2026, 8:37:58 AM6 trades$600 min
7/26/2026, 12:45:16 AM7 trades$560 min
7/29/2026, 12:23:31 AM6 trades$500 min
7/29/2026, 12:44:34 AM6 trades$500 min
7/29/2026, 1:40:56 AM6 trades$500 min
7/28/2026, 11:26:41 PM6 trades$480 min
7/26/2026, 8:59:18 AM4 trades$480 min
7/26/2026, 8:48:36 AM6 trades$460 min
7/26/2026, 1:16:46 AM6 trades$390 min
7/26/2026, 9:20:24 AM4 trades$370 min
5/28/2026, 11:19:07 AM11 trades$3519 min
4/30/2026, 5:53:08 AM8 trades$347 min
7/26/2026, 9:09:48 AM4 trades$320 min
7/29/2026, 12:34:04 AM4 trades$280 min
7/27/2026, 4:56:03 PM2 trades$200 min
7/27/2026, 4:24:28 PM4 trades$200 min
6/4/2026, 11:42:12 AM3 trades$202 min
7/29/2026, 3:15:47 AM3 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-20
05-29
06-07
06-17
06-24
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.16/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10.3 / M50.5 / H39.2