@0xfcf4e9…9465

#34,18524

0xfcf4e98f6e8cf7a161dcd13865f834090a58527f

~99d· 53 markets · 756 tradesVol: $83,0582026-08-04 19:47:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (23/42)12.4/20
0.50x (win $8,816 / loss $17,618)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1120/15
Sortino -2.2240/10
$-0.2692 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1307 (42 markets)6/10
19/35 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 536% of peak ($13,492 / $2,517)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+3,443
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 19.5 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#14,470$1,406Vol: $45,157
📈 ECONOMICS#3,209$948Vol: $29,942
💰 FINANCE#3,948$1,078Vol: $7,449
💻 TECH#18,657$9Vol: $460
📢 MENTIONS#49,267$0Vol: $40
⚽ SPORTS#460,856$1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,443
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,058
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
441B / 315S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$75
Vol: $518
Week
$1,028
Vol: $2,823
Month
$1,255
Vol: $2,823
All Time
$3,443
Vol: $83,058

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
23W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$3,443
Win Rate
56%
23W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$383
Avg Loss
$-927

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,231 (1.810059111440315% of PnL)

Top Winners

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$3,545
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,559
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$1,127
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$757
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$469
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$298
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$274
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$171
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$121
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?$101

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-12,619
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,064
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-811
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-601
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?$-589
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-579
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-304
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-290
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$-258
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$-189

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.109
Sortino
-0.081
HHI
2142
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.225
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.9%
Top-5 markets
80.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1602s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)49.2%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 5:06:45 AM2 trades$2,8180 min
5/23/2026, 7:58:41 AM3 trades$2,8100 min
6/19/2026, 6:57:10 AM4 trades$2,4000 min
6/18/2026, 3:52:34 AM2 trades$1,5290 min
6/12/2026, 12:55:01 PM6 trades$1,4625 min
5/6/2026, 11:03:52 AM11 trades$1,3620 min
4/16/2026, 2:32:40 AM3 trades$1,2031 min
6/14/2026, 1:06:00 PM2 trades$1,1260 min
6/20/2026, 2:01:11 PM13 trades$1,1210 min
7/23/2026, 3:52:22 PM7 trades$1,0960 min
8/3/2026, 5:30:33 AM1 trades$1,0680 min
8/3/2026, 11:21:38 PM5 trades$9960 min
6/21/2026, 12:04:50 PM2 trades$9800 min
7/8/2026, 2:02:16 AM5 trades$9790 min
4/24/2026, 4:39:06 PM2 trades$9230 min
7/7/2026, 6:56:40 AM6 trades$8971 min
7/11/2026, 11:31:35 PM4 trades$8290 min
6/24/2026, 10:44:56 AM1 trades$8000 min
6/14/2026, 10:23:10 AM3 trades$7984 min
6/14/2026, 7:49:19 PM3 trades$7131 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
02-13
04-16
04-27
05-14
05-26
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.4 / M32.4 / H49.2