@Elles

#163,50861

0xfd1c69b30fee30a5ec7b2ee49cd038fff8534c80

~75d· 132 markets · 297 tradesVol: $6,3082026-08-04 19:06:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (30/82)3.3/20
1.73x (win $286 / loss $165)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.49815/15
Sortino 13.17410/10
$+0.1156 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 1471 (82 markets)5.1/10
11/31 profitable days (35%)1.4/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($40 / $160)9/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+231
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#41,206$231Vol: $4,347
SPORTS#1,105,650$-3Vol: $247
📈 ECONOMICS#583,239$-7Vol: $169
CRYPTO#895,715$-1Vol: $162
💰 FINANCE#597,654$-21Vol: $141
🎭 CULTURE#56,890$15Vol: $92
📢 MENTIONS#98,954$-2Vol: $71
🌤️ WEATHER#182,236$-1Vol: $45
💻 TECH#170,731$-0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,308
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
132
total markets
Trades
236B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $15
All Time
$231
Vol: $6,308

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
30W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$231
Win Rate
37%
30W / 51L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (0.795224500389307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$110
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$44
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$30
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?$25
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$21
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$10
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 70k and 80k?$8
Will Starmer say "Social Media" during the next PMQ?$7
Royals vs. Tigers$6
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-08-24?$3

Top Losers

Will Rhun ap Iorwerth be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?$-18
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$-18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-14
Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-14
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?$-10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?$-7
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-6
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.180
Sortino
0.688
HHI
622
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.157
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.4%
Top-5 markets
45.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 973s — normal for humanCV 3.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)36%

Sessions

#12
3/14/2026, 2:15:29 PM1 trades$2380 min
2/24/2026, 4:03:08 PM1 trades$2130 min
4/5/2026, 10:55:17 PM1 trades$870 min
5/3/2026, 6:34:26 PM6 trades$845 min
4/25/2026, 11:17:20 AM6 trades$661 min
5/29/2026, 2:46:34 PM2 trades$590 min
4/9/2026, 3:27:15 PM7 trades$492 min
4/5/2026, 2:26:11 AM5 trades$460 min
6/3/2026, 10:41:30 PM1 trades$400 min
4/29/2026, 11:43:24 AM2 trades$300 min
6/22/2026, 9:24:41 AM4 trades$264 min
7/11/2026, 1:56:32 PM8 trades$265 min
7/11/2026, 1:45:32 PM2 trades$250 min
4/3/2026, 8:59:03 PM1 trades$230 min
6/19/2026, 2:56:23 PM2 trades$220 min
5/3/2026, 6:53:34 PM2 trades$200 min
6/19/2026, 1:54:14 PM2 trades$200 min
6/19/2026, 2:41:49 PM2 trades$150 min
3/14/2026, 1:49:33 PM2 trades$155 min
6/4/2026, 11:29:34 PM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-24
01-22
03-14
05-02
06-04
06-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 86 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50 / M14 / H36