@bl91

#2,668,5547

0xfd77804a55d01e02d597d77a8d687b315893eef1

~15d· 39 markets · 212 tradesVol: $10,6622026-08-04 21:04:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (15/37)5.3/20
0.78x (win $234 / loss $302)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9370/15
Sortino -2.5410/10
$-0.1322 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2213 (37 markets)1.4/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 262% of peak ($118 / $45)0/10

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,475,076$-56Vol: $4,914
CRYPTO#1,309,177$-27Vol: $2,806
🌤️ WEATHER#276,685$-52Vol: $1,663
SPORTS#1,521,703$-30Vol: $1,013
💰 FINANCE#526,466$-3Vol: $219

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,662
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
73B / 139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $14
Week
$-0
Vol: $14
Month
$-0
Vol: $14
All Time
$-162
Vol: $10,662

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
15W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-162
Win Rate
41%
15W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $140 (0.8600554357868802% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$77
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$16
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 20?$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$7

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-100
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$-88
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-20
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 22?$-19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?$-10
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?$-9
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
829
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
52.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 472s — normal for humanCV 0.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.49
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)54.8%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 7:51:43 PM13 trades$6270 min
6/29/2026, 11:24:01 AM2 trades$5160 min
6/29/2026, 4:39:47 AM8 trades$2920 min
6/29/2026, 10:08:14 AM6 trades$2550 min
6/18/2026, 10:31:08 PM2 trades$2500 min
6/29/2026, 5:26:17 PM9 trades$2170 min
6/18/2026, 10:53:26 PM4 trades$1101 min
6/28/2026, 7:10:44 AM5 trades$850 min
6/17/2026, 5:05:41 PM16 trades$829 min
6/18/2026, 8:36:14 PM11 trades$687 min
6/16/2026, 3:29:49 PM12 trades$644 min
6/17/2026, 8:25:59 PM8 trades$610 min
6/17/2026, 9:16:04 PM4 trades$414 min
6/29/2026, 11:14:41 AM3 trades$400 min
6/17/2026, 11:10:11 AM7 trades$390 min
6/17/2026, 11:21:01 AM8 trades$390 min
6/17/2026, 10:21:01 AM5 trades$350 min
6/13/2026, 8:33:12 PM10 trades$354 min
6/18/2026, 8:28:49 PM5 trades$322 min
6/17/2026, 8:22:10 AM3 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-29
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.7 / M20.5 / H54.8