@Caspian382Mariners

#2,554,5660

0xfd7b8e60e96c8bc679519abad1050c028ca94b83

~10d· 30 markets · 76 tradesVol: $10,3532026-08-04 18:58:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (8/28)0/20
0.67x (win $312 / loss $462)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6890/15
Sortino -6.0580/10
$-0.2921 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3684 (28 markets)0/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($194 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
88% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,671,480$-97Vol: $6,563
🎭 CULTURE#596,190$-3Vol: $2,500
₿ CRYPTO#892,773$-1Vol: $1,290

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,353
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
34B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-100
Vol: $10,353

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
8W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
29%
8W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $154 (1.5313528063004687% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics$50
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox$47
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners$45
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox$23
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$16

Top Losers

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$-96
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros$-56
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-49
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers$-46
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers$-46
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-44
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$-32
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics$-18
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.282
Sortino
-0.316
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.362
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
33.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2102s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)64.7%
High (>55c)11.8%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 10:30:43 PM22 trades$1,3041 min
6/13/2026, 12:08:45 PM2 trades$920 min
6/12/2026, 9:16:40 AM2 trades$710 min
6/18/2026, 3:56:43 PM2 trades$670 min
6/19/2026, 12:41:37 PM2 trades$600 min
6/19/2026, 4:15:08 PM2 trades$520 min
6/15/2026, 1:14:18 PM2 trades$510 min
6/11/2026, 1:40:04 PM2 trades$500 min
6/18/2026, 12:51:40 PM2 trades$490 min
6/11/2026, 2:09:31 PM2 trades$480 min
6/16/2026, 7:16:47 PM2 trades$450 min
6/16/2026, 6:09:05 PM2 trades$450 min
6/19/2026, 6:01:17 PM2 trades$440 min
6/16/2026, 11:13:28 AM2 trades$430 min
6/18/2026, 1:16:34 PM2 trades$420 min
6/23/2026, 12:52:17 PM2 trades$380 min
6/11/2026, 2:44:33 PM2 trades$380 min
6/15/2026, 12:41:15 PM2 trades$290 min
6/13/2026, 4:17:49 PM2 trades$240 min
6/13/2026, 4:46:54 PM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-19
06-23
06-25
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.11/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.5 / M64.7 / H11.8