oleksiyz

@oleksiyz

#17,80983

0xfd8e46519d0a8f9c35e5010ef4e7f56f7583aea4

~158d· 4675 markets · 54367 tradesVol: $808,6642026-08-04 23:02:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (3500/4673)20/20
1.34x (win $40,879 / loss $30,476)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.21715/15
Sortino 12.05310/10
$+0.0332 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 4 (4673 markets)10/10
116/156 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($834 / $10,435)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+7,897
DCA Master
Avg 11.6 entries/market
Whale
$313,254 invested
Consistent
116/156 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#241$7,897Vol: $808,664

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$808,664
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4675
total markets
Trades
25148B / 29219S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~158d

Periods

#2
Today
$29
Vol: $710
Week
$24
Vol: $2,303
Month
$44
Vol: $3,132
All Time
$7,897
Vol: $808,664

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
3500W / 1173L events
Realized PnL
$7,897
Win Rate
75%
3500W / 1173L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $295 (0.037317959244143856% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 11?$167
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?$128

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?$-332
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?$-243
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?$-233
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 9?$-224
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or higher on April 29?$-199
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?$-193
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 21?$-189
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?$-186
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?$-186
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 27?$-186

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
0.373
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
10.1%
Half-Kelly
5.1%
Top-1 market
0.1%
Top-5 markets
0.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
110.5
Very active
Markets / Day
9.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.3m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
116.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 79s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock111 trades/day — automation9.5 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.63
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)95.9%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 10:00:45 PM225 trades$1,37714 min
5/11/2026, 12:38:22 PM118 trades$1,32163 min
3/30/2026, 6:57:38 AM134 trades$1,21275 min
5/11/2026, 3:30:55 PM186 trades$1,19162 min
6/11/2026, 10:01:33 PM189 trades$1,18211 min
3/26/2026, 6:30:21 AM79 trades$1,16343 min
3/20/2026, 7:34:51 AM55 trades$1,10048 min
6/7/2026, 10:02:16 PM173 trades$1,09420 min
5/6/2026, 3:48:52 AM135 trades$1,08631 min
5/11/2026, 6:04:58 AM127 trades$1,08552 min
6/15/2026, 10:00:09 PM165 trades$1,08416 min
6/4/2026, 10:00:55 PM173 trades$1,01716 min
4/4/2026, 5:32:35 AM49 trades$99916 min
4/3/2026, 12:30:13 PM17 trades$9952 min
6/17/2026, 10:01:05 PM159 trades$98812 min
4/30/2026, 3:58:12 PM145 trades$98824 min
4/30/2026, 1:15:16 AM178 trades$98431 min
6/8/2026, 10:00:54 PM169 trades$94011 min
6/16/2026, 4:01:43 AM134 trades$92612 min
4/28/2026, 8:12:54 PM78 trades$92637 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-23
03-21
05-03
06-12
07-10
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M2.8 / H95.9