@intronago

#122,79855

0xfdbfcf6f7fe5f1ba11b740cdda4e2d4f229ce028

~40d· 121 markets · 893 tradesVol: $254,6812026-08-04 21:49:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (42/121)2.4/20
1.43x (win $22,629 / loss $15,842)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.09315/15
Sortino 2.61410/10
$+0.3860 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1412 (121 markets)5.4/10
13/37 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($8,817 / $15,605)2.7/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+439
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#57,015$498Vol: $248,173
🏛️ POLITICS#1,444,583$-40Vol: $4,000
CRYPTO#1,238,543$-17Vol: $723

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$439
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$254,681
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
684B / 209S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
42W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$439
Win Rate
35%
42W / 79L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$539
Avg Loss
$-223

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,909 (45.35995169962635% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17,640
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5$1,387
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$883
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$840
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$525
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$344
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$221
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$177
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$139
England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?$130

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,138
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,344
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,890
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-1,088
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5$-420
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$-315
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-262
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-196
Türkiye vs. United States: Neither team to score first?$-188
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5$-173

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.112
HHI
3393
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.260
Kelly %
15.3%
Half-Kelly
7.7%
Top-1 market
52.1%
Top-5 markets
98.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 195s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.21
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)49.6%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 10:39:55 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/15/2026, 9:13:43 PM2 trades$1,6800 min
7/15/2026, 8:53:08 PM9 trades$1,3852 min
7/15/2026, 9:07:37 PM1 trades$9180 min
7/15/2026, 9:00:35 PM3 trades$8100 min
7/18/2026, 10:03:42 PM12 trades$8060 min
6/26/2026, 4:40:46 PM83 trades$64141 min
7/14/2026, 7:54:08 PM5 trades$6363 min
6/26/2026, 6:56:35 PM3 trades$6363 min
6/26/2026, 5:40:34 PM4 trades$6113 min
7/12/2026, 2:59:59 PM1 trades$5840 min
6/28/2026, 10:20:07 PM3 trades$5491 min
7/11/2026, 4:44:10 PM11 trades$5493 min
6/27/2026, 8:24:11 PM8 trades$54712 min
7/11/2026, 1:45:43 PM1 trades$5390 min
7/12/2026, 9:03:20 AM2 trades$4950 min
6/30/2026, 9:45:19 PM6 trades$4900 min
7/12/2026, 2:39:35 PM1 trades$4710 min
7/4/2026, 7:05:22 PM5 trades$4643 min
6/18/2026, 1:12:50 PM30 trades$4600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
06-09
06-16
06-22
06-28
07-05
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.9 / M11.5 / H49.6