@alidf

#165,19566

0xfde38c3e0cf69179ae100832434d14bf6e95c59b

~132d· 142 markets · 927 tradesVol: $110,2242026-08-04 21:45:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (42/133)0.8/20
1.80x (win $261 / loss $145)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.84515/15
Sortino 7.28710/10
$+0.1282 per $1 invested6.4/10
HHI 381 (133 markets)10/10
26/71 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($27 / $126)9.7/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+226
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#69,788$84Vol: $89,389
₿ CRYPTO#229,439$11Vol: $5,476
📈 ECONOMICS#12,734$97Vol: $5,053
🎭 CULTURE#37,511$34Vol: $3,417
💰 FINANCE#577,250$-11Vol: $2,949
🌤️ WEATHER#195,741$-1Vol: $1,704
⚽ SPORTS#1,493,686$-24Vol: $468
💻 TECH#79,557$0Vol: $151

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$226
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$110,224
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
638B / 289S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~132d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$226
Vol: $110,224

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
41W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$226
Win Rate
31%
41W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $129 (0.5715614206004782% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $60
Will Trump tweet 10-19 times this week?$38
No Opensea token launch by July?$31
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?$23
Will Berachain's FDV be $3-5b 1 day after launch?$16
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?$10
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$9
Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?$9
Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?$8

Top Losers

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-26?$-26
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$-18
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?$-10
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-6
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?$-6
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?$-6
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?$-6
Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?$-5
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Doge ETF approved in 2025?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.148
Sortino
0.336
HHI
291
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 876s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.8%
Mid (20-55c)8%
High (>55c)2.2%

Sessions

#12
10/30/2025, 4:25:03 AM5 trades$655 min
8/20/2025, 8:20:46 AM4 trades$462 min
8/20/2025, 11:05:18 PM1 trades$350 min
11/21/2024, 8:26:31 AM1 trades$300 min
11/18/2024, 4:12:14 PM2 trades$293 min
1/19/2025, 8:43:17 PM4 trades$270 min
4/20/2025, 2:38:20 AM2 trades$271 min
1/9/2026, 4:48:02 AM3 trades$275 min
10/28/2025, 11:55:05 PM1 trades$270 min
1/21/2025, 12:18:21 AM2 trades$250 min
1/9/2026, 5:46:24 AM1 trades$240 min
11/21/2024, 7:34:41 AM4 trades$243 min
3/23/2026, 12:17:55 PM8 trades$2313 min
11/18/2024, 3:53:08 PM3 trades$220 min
11/18/2024, 2:20:07 PM5 trades$224 min
12/26/2024, 2:05:48 PM2 trades$211 min
10/30/2025, 12:35:47 AM1 trades$210 min
3/10/2026, 5:26:31 AM1 trades$210 min
11/18/2024, 4:21:53 PM5 trades$203 min
11/18/2024, 3:36:17 PM2 trades$193 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
11-27
12-24
01-25
02-23
11-14
04-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.8 / M8 / H2.2