@natsu-dragneel
#2,944,268390xfe137137edb3a2ea77377e7167791cf1804b8b9c
~87d· 830 markets · 3482 tradesVol: $141,7362026-08-04 23:03:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
83% (690/830)20/20
0.78x (win $3,217 / loss $4,147)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4430/15
Sortino -1.5860/10
$-0.0180 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 42 (830 markets)10/10
53/78 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 285% of peak ($1,433 / $503)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 83%
Whale
$51,702 invested
Consistent
53/78 profitable days
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,480,875$-108Vol: $71,036
🎭 CULTURE#810,346$-953Vol: $66,566
🌤️ WEATHER#281,414$-74Vol: $3,796
💰 FINANCE#252,643$0Vol: $165
🏛️ POLITICS#1,368,604$-19Vol: $157
📢 MENTIONS#75,730$-1Vol: $17
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,155
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$141,736
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
830
total markets
Trades
1926B / 1556S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,155
Vol: $141,736
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
83%
690W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$-1,155
Win Rate
83%
690W / 140L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $636 (0.5504477508530649% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$270
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$243
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$122
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$112
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$65
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$58
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$44
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$39
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-956
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-295
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-250
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-227
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-147
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-136
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-131
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$-118
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$-108
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
10.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
36.1m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active3.2 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.2
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)84.9%
Sessions
#1212/27/2025, 9:35:45 PM50 trades$1,31326 min
12/26/2025, 3:09:29 PM28 trades$1,19018 min
12/25/2025, 7:04:09 PM31 trades$1,0959 min
6/29/2026, 4:15:28 PM2 trades$9620 min
12/26/2025, 1:50:05 PM24 trades$8619 min
12/26/2025, 2:35:09 PM11 trades$8237 min
6/27/2026, 6:32:23 AM12 trades$8024 min
7/2/2026, 3:28:35 PM15 trades$8010 min
12/25/2025, 6:40:31 PM20 trades$79413 min
6/25/2026, 6:49:25 AM22 trades$7738 min
12/27/2025, 10:33:53 PM29 trades$7118 min
10/17/2025, 1:54:45 PM5 trades$6876 min
12/25/2025, 5:25:15 PM5 trades$6683 min
12/25/2025, 5:53:39 PM9 trades$6075 min
12/27/2025, 10:49:45 PM17 trades$5887 min
12/26/2025, 1:36:21 PM4 trades$5836 min
12/26/2025, 1:55:11 AM11 trades$5644 min
12/26/2025, 2:05:35 PM7 trades$5578 min
12/26/2025, 12:25:57 AM10 trades$5564 min
6/29/2026, 12:39:53 PM6 trades$5530 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
11-03
11-22
12-08
12-28
06-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M10.6 / H84.9