@0xfE3D97…2108

#2,530,63611

0xfe3d97146b7c019704728378a038310fc15ec31a

~16d· 47 markets · 87 tradesVol: $12,3552026-08-05 19:15:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (14/45)0.6/20
0.67x (win $279 / loss $418)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5050/15
Sortino -4.3260/10
$-0.1693 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 541 (45 markets)9.8/10
5/15 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 369% of peak ($190 / $51)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,550,861$-159Vol: $11,563
📈 ECONOMICS#631,515$-23Vol: $423
⚽ SPORTS#138,248$76Vol: $226
💰 FINANCE#97,079$3Vol: $131
₿ CRYPTO#259,991$7Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-96
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,355
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
57B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
14W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-96
Win Rate
31%
14W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (2.343168026783846% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$133
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?$77
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10
Trump approval Up or Down this week?$9
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$7
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?$7
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$7
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-100
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-60
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-41
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$-37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$-25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$-23
Will the US strike Iran next?$-18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?$-17
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?$-15
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.177
Sortino
-0.218
HHI
524
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.160
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
39.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.91
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)17.5%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 7:44:57 PM1 trades$1730 min
1/28/2026, 10:01:46 PM1 trades$1090 min
3/1/2026, 6:31:11 AM6 trades$904 min
1/18/2026, 8:35:08 PM1 trades$800 min
1/28/2026, 8:42:08 PM2 trades$711 min
2/28/2026, 7:51:41 PM3 trades$654 min
3/1/2026, 1:24:25 PM4 trades$568 min
1/21/2026, 8:21:26 PM4 trades$533 min
1/31/2026, 7:57:40 AM2 trades$492 min
2/28/2026, 10:37:27 PM1 trades$460 min
1/25/2026, 6:35:54 AM4 trades$467 min
1/31/2026, 2:22:14 PM2 trades$454 min
1/31/2026, 2:10:00 PM1 trades$430 min
6/30/2026, 7:57:34 PM5 trades$410 min
1/18/2026, 10:40:04 PM2 trades$402 min
1/30/2026, 8:13:46 PM1 trades$400 min
3/1/2026, 8:52:01 AM2 trades$395 min
3/4/2026, 9:42:25 PM3 trades$301 min
3/2/2026, 11:59:41 AM2 trades$301 min
3/1/2026, 6:45:27 AM1 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
01-25
01-29
01-31
02-06
02-17
03-01
03-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.1 / M33.3 / H17.5