@SmokeDrinkPerm

#2,241,20670

0xfe61fb8f6d23d20cbcbcd0035604a887ea8fe9c2

~131d· 3074 markets · 8458 tradesVol: $116,8732026-08-04 20:45:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (2168/2937)20/20
1.07x (win $6,215 / loss $5,792)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32515/15
Sortino 1.99210/10
$+0.0096 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 6 (2937 markets)10/10
74/127 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($402 / $782)3.7/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#288,117$5Vol: $75,683
🌤️ WEATHER#266,949$-28Vol: $24,083
🏛️ POLITICS#1,476,628$-57Vol: $10,261
⚽ SPORTS#176,719$43Vol: $2,402
💰 FINANCE#174,636$0Vol: $1,672
🎭 CULTURE#630,862$-4Vol: $1,142
📈 ECONOMICS#615,271$-15Vol: $549
💻 TECH#19,831$8Vol: $262
📢 MENTIONS#116,718$-5Vol: $224

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$116,873
Total Redeem
$5,628
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3074
total markets
Trades
4881B / 3577S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $110
Week
$-4
Vol: $177
Month
$-6
Vol: $352
All Time
$-34
Vol: $116,873

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
2168W / 768L events
Realized PnL
$-34
Win Rate
74%
2168W / 768L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146 (4.315493790656417% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?$56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$48
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?$42
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?$42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$38
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?$34
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$32

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-68
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?$-68
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?$-64
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?$-59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$-57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 1?$-56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$-54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?$-54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.069
Sortino
0.088
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.1
Very active
Markets / Day
22.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 666s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock63 trades/day — mass trading23 markets/day — mass coverage54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.96
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)83.4%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 12:27:36 PM128 trades$1,08624 min
5/4/2026, 3:11:16 PM14 trades$13822 min
4/21/2026, 3:28:10 AM10 trades$1340 min
5/13/2026, 9:36:20 AM7 trades$1256 min
5/5/2026, 5:32:38 AM8 trades$12213 min
4/28/2026, 4:00:40 PM10 trades$12210 min
5/6/2026, 12:00:44 AM9 trades$1177 min
5/9/2026, 4:06:03 AM9 trades$1171 min
4/26/2026, 5:12:28 AM11 trades$1168 min
4/27/2026, 7:02:16 AM11 trades$11612 min
3/25/2026, 8:03:53 AM19 trades$11024 min
4/23/2026, 6:04:56 AM8 trades$10713 min
5/11/2026, 3:14:22 PM4 trades$1010 min
5/10/2026, 2:58:43 PM6 trades$1010 min
5/16/2026, 9:28:21 PM2 trades$1010 min
6/20/2026, 5:06:56 AM12 trades$1008 min
4/29/2026, 3:58:18 PM7 trades$1003 min
4/29/2026, 12:15:12 PM8 trades$980 min
3/24/2026, 4:25:07 PM1 trades$970 min
5/1/2026, 12:25:44 PM13 trades$969 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-14
05-05
05-27
06-19
07-10
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M11.4 / H83.4