@SirSiboppan
#29,070630xfe724b7046696c9c431ae331c3d29816b4799025
~28d· 34 markets · 563 tradesVol: $89,8682026-08-04 19:58:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (13/32)5.3/20
1.59x (win $11,669 / loss $7,356)9.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.66715/15
Sortino 4.02910/10
$+0.2421 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1050 (32 markets)7.3/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($5,275 / $9,588)3/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+4,231
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Categories
7💻 TECH#257,660$-1,099Vol: $35,333
🏛️ POLITICS#19,484$876Vol: $25,779
💰 FINANCE#1,346$3,895Vol: $14,720
₿ CRYPTO#43,872$485Vol: $11,699
📈 ECONOMICS#15,056$71Vol: $2,299
🎭 CULTURE#551,306$-1Vol: $25
⚽ SPORTS#342,959$4Vol: $13
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4,231
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$89,868
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
182B / 381S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
Periods
#2Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,231
Vol: $89,868
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
13W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$4,231
Win Rate
41%
13W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$898
Avg Loss
$-433
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,600 (1.7964115872970852% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,482
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2,386
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$1,732
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$1,077
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$942
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$767
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$501
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$460
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?$273
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$30
Top Losers
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-5,270
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-622
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$-576
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-250
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$-223
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-221
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-100
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-46
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.157
HHI
1127
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.249
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
65.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 427s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)38.5%
High (>55c)47.8%
Sessions
#126/12/2026, 6:33:42 PM23 trades$2,4450 min
6/13/2026, 12:31:24 PM37 trades$2,1079 min
6/13/2026, 2:04:31 PM17 trades$1,8621 min
6/17/2026, 6:21:44 AM14 trades$1,8333 min
7/23/2026, 5:48:57 PM27 trades$1,7901 min
6/13/2026, 1:22:18 PM6 trades$1,7280 min
7/24/2026, 2:44:25 PM9 trades$1,6490 min
6/9/2026, 12:21:48 PM7 trades$1,5951 min
6/5/2026, 10:21:52 PM10 trades$1,4730 min
7/24/2026, 2:06:12 PM6 trades$1,3663 min
6/9/2026, 6:21:25 PM1 trades$1,3300 min
7/24/2026, 2:33:01 PM5 trades$1,2480 min
6/17/2026, 10:00:01 PM15 trades$1,1274 min
6/11/2026, 12:14:42 AM5 trades$1,0912 min
6/7/2026, 9:24:10 PM2 trades$1,0820 min
6/9/2026, 12:53:15 PM29 trades$1,0488 min
6/8/2026, 12:46:13 PM3 trades$9360 min
6/8/2026, 11:47:54 PM4 trades$8710 min
7/24/2026, 1:46:22 PM6 trades$8480 min
6/9/2026, 2:35:55 PM6 trades$6410 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-03
06-09
06-12
06-15
06-17
06-24
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M38.5 / H47.8