@AugurCapital
#328,737170xfe878485df8ed49ec4019dfe3113035ea0515ac1
~48d· 784 markets · 3379 tradesVol: $149,8582026-08-04 21:13:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
16% (126/783)0/20
0.98x (win $2,386 / loss $2,434)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2540/15
Sortino -0.3570/10
$-0.0026 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 50 (783 markets)10/10
22/46 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 6774% of peak ($501 / $7)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+44
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#9,779$55Vol: $144,883
🏛️ POLITICS#1,005,305$-2Vol: $4,278
₿ CRYPTO#1,108,933$-8Vol: $694
⚽ SPORTS#957,571$-1Vol: $3
Overview
#1Net PnL
$44
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$149,858
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
784
total markets
Trades
2319B / 1060S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$44
Vol: $149,858
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
16%
126W / 657L events
Realized PnL
$44
Win Rate
16%
126W / 657L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $741 (16.713029756537424% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$486
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?$132
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?$123
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 16?$104
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?$98
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$77
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 12?$65
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 10?$61
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?$58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13?$50
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?$-295
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 15?$-201
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?$-133
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?$-126
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 5?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 5?$-17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9?$-13
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
33.1
Active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.5m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.1
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 177s — normal for humanCV 3.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency7.7 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)78.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)21.6%
Sessions
#125/21/2026, 6:50:01 PM6 trades$2,9392 min
5/13/2026, 1:22:19 PM35 trades$1,20339 min
5/9/2026, 5:25:09 AM53 trades$8325 min
5/13/2026, 9:22:08 PM20 trades$5467 min
5/13/2026, 8:54:59 PM15 trades$54212 min
5/14/2026, 8:31:27 AM29 trades$4475 min
6/8/2026, 8:46:36 PM16 trades$4315 min
6/4/2026, 9:54:52 AM13 trades$41013 min
5/15/2026, 6:34:00 PM4 trades$4080 min
5/11/2026, 9:09:18 PM8 trades$40210 min
5/11/2026, 5:27:04 AM13 trades$4020 min
6/12/2026, 1:29:57 PM9 trades$4001 min
6/7/2026, 12:56:19 AM7 trades$3316 min
5/11/2026, 2:21:21 PM8 trades$3221 min
5/10/2026, 6:01:25 AM28 trades$31715 min
6/6/2026, 2:38:07 AM59 trades$31018 min
5/13/2026, 11:56:12 PM13 trades$30513 min
5/13/2026, 10:14:57 AM2 trades$3000 min
5/13/2026, 10:25:55 AM3 trades$3000 min
5/13/2026, 12:18:21 PM9 trades$3000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
05-13
05-31
06-09
06-16
06-24
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.3 / M0.1 / H21.6