@CogTree

#356,61191

0xfecbd65dcb3ce6481ea8fb90a8a988e78a4b322f

~58d· 61 markets · 72 tradesVol: $3,5562026-08-04 18:12:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

98% (60/61)20/20
133.27x (win $36 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.03915/15
Sortino 334.77810/10
$+0.0106 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 259 (61 markets)10/10
56/57 profitable days (98%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($0 / $36)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+34
Consistent
56/57 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
59 wins in a row

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#104,903$3Vol: $997
🏛️ POLITICS#153,610$14Vol: $970
💰 FINANCE#64,487$7Vol: $798
₿ CRYPTO#248,262$9Vol: $585
🌤️ WEATHER#70,447$0Vol: $74
📈 ECONOMICS#99,363$1Vol: $61
💻 TECH#103,762$0Vol: $53
⚽ SPORTS#550,566$0Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,556
Total Redeem
$34
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
63B / 9S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$35
Vol: $3,556

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
98%
60W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$35
Win Rate
98%
60W / 1L
Profit Factor
133.26x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.4756521739130435% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$7
Bitcoin all time high in June?$5
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?$5
Biden drops out by July 12?$4
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in October?$2
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$2
Fed rate cut by July 31?$1
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?$1
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 8-15?$1

Top Losers

Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.469
Sortino
626.667
HHI
261
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
97.1%
Half-Kelly
48.5%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
25.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 0.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.18
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 3:02:33 AM1 trades$2200 min
6/16/2024, 4:34:30 AM1 trades$2200 min
1/22/2026, 2:19:40 AM3 trades$1693 min
5/20/2026, 3:46:54 PM2 trades$1570 min
6/22/2026, 9:39:20 AM2 trades$1310 min
7/11/2024, 8:05:28 AM1 trades$1260 min
7/1/2024, 6:42:08 AM1 trades$980 min
6/20/2024, 8:12:15 AM1 trades$930 min
6/21/2026, 1:12:41 AM2 trades$930 min
6/14/2024, 6:44:17 AM1 trades$930 min
1/16/2025, 7:07:49 PM1 trades$790 min
2/5/2026, 2:20:19 AM1 trades$700 min
5/6/2026, 2:28:04 PM2 trades$660 min
2/26/2026, 2:44:44 AM1 trades$640 min
6/18/2026, 2:15:26 AM3 trades$640 min
11/30/2024, 4:12:56 AM1 trades$640 min
11/21/2024, 10:56:47 PM1 trades$640 min
11/15/2024, 6:18:15 AM3 trades$634 min
11/6/2024, 4:40:53 AM1 trades$620 min
9/30/2024, 12:19:35 PM1 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
08-10
10-22
12-18
03-31
01-22
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100