@0xff36…d5b7

#2,902,53930

0xff36fc6de4ccdd290c14ee69244c21c1803ad5b7

~98d· 58 markets · 1684 tradesVol: $124,9942026-08-04 19:45:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (31/53)14.2/20
0.48x (win $825 / loss $1,718)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4200/15
Sortino -4.6640/10
$-0.0652 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 519 (53 markets)9.9/10
18/33 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 1264% of peak ($1,012 / $80)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 26.9 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#296,847$-798Vol: $124,994

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-798
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$124,994
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
1030B / 654S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-798
Vol: $124,994

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
31W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-798
Win Rate
58%
31W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $478 (0.5993809446233662% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$322
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$85
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$71
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$65
Megaquake by March 31?$45
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$41
Megaquake by June 30?$39
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$27
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$24
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$18

Top Losers

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$-381
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-325
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-297
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$-176
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-139
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$-107
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$-82
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$-48
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-40
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.204
HHI
340
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.076
Kelly %
4.1%
Half-Kelly
2.1%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
33.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 308s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)41.7%

Sessions

#12
2/22/2026, 5:03:24 PM18 trades$1,02612 min
3/7/2026, 11:36:53 PM11 trades$5366 min
2/14/2026, 2:32:17 AM11 trades$5325 min
6/7/2026, 11:42:58 PM33 trades$48317 min
3/6/2026, 7:24:15 PM3 trades$4530 min
3/1/2026, 10:54:17 AM10 trades$4444 min
2/17/2026, 7:47:25 AM7 trades$4426 min
2/27/2026, 2:58:24 AM7 trades$4010 min
3/12/2026, 5:56:23 AM2 trades$3792 min
2/16/2026, 8:34:55 AM14 trades$3719 min
2/27/2026, 1:26:10 AM1 trades$3440 min
3/9/2026, 5:24:13 AM3 trades$3420 min
3/3/2026, 12:42:21 PM5 trades$32710 min
2/14/2026, 12:29:33 AM15 trades$3259 min
3/4/2026, 5:59:53 PM30 trades$29014 min
2/15/2026, 8:37:57 PM9 trades$2802 min
3/6/2026, 10:37:03 AM2 trades$2680 min
2/4/2026, 7:34:54 AM4 trades$2661 min
2/14/2026, 1:32:33 PM7 trades$2523 min
2/16/2026, 5:13:31 AM5 trades$2479 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-14
03-02
03-09
05-02
05-12
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.6 / M30.7 / H41.7