@HARIRA-SOUP

#2,965,28625

0xff47b40f7406c1ae6099b0452f6bee240365d81f

~130d· 262 markets · 1899 tradesVol: $2,266,0222026-08-04 23:36:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (109/216)10.2/20
0.58x (win $1,275 / loss $2,199)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8010/15
Sortino -2.0080/10
$-0.0378 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 462 (216 markets)10/10
53/108 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 1932% of peak ($1,171 / $61)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,775,329$-338Vol: $1,522,370
💰 FINANCE#33,582$30Vol: $377,134
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,948$-580Vol: $140,011
₿ CRYPTO#1,597,629$-582Vol: $135,131
🎭 CULTURE#17,445$134Vol: $47,733
💻 TECH#227,784$-10Vol: $5,870
📢 MENTIONS#122,874$-8Vol: $2,751
🌤️ WEATHER#270,884$-35Vol: $1,901
📈 ECONOMICS#631,942$-23Vol: $250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,437
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,266,022
Total Redeem
$29
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
262
total markets
Trades
617B / 1282S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,437
Vol: $2,266,022

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
109W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$-1,437
Win Rate
50%
109W / 107L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $689 (0.4799381856657571% of PnL)

Top Winners

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$266
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$234
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?$190
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$146
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$125
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$45
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$32
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$22
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$17

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-747
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$-253
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-168
US government shutdown Saturday?$-140
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?$-122
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$-52
Will stablecoins hit $400B by December 31?$-42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$-39
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-26
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.094
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
491
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
43.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — normal for humanCV 3.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)45.9%

Sessions

#12
11/22/2025, 6:59:43 PM1 trades$2,2550 min
12/8/2025, 1:44:25 AM1 trades$2,1880 min
12/8/2025, 11:23:05 PM6 trades$1,05110 min
12/9/2025, 2:40:26 PM4 trades$9764 min
11/15/2025, 2:07:02 AM3 trades$9661 min
1/13/2026, 11:36:16 PM3 trades$7573 min
1/28/2026, 3:43:06 PM1 trades$7470 min
12/11/2025, 6:19:11 PM15 trades$70411 min
2/18/2026, 11:11:44 PM1 trades$7010 min
11/16/2025, 7:37:13 PM3 trades$5721 min
11/15/2025, 7:44:44 PM1 trades$4990 min
12/9/2025, 8:33:47 AM1 trades$4760 min
12/9/2025, 11:03:13 AM1 trades$4760 min
11/21/2025, 3:54:41 PM19 trades$47229 min
12/11/2025, 6:38:41 PM1 trades$4660 min
7/22/2026, 8:46:58 AM71 trades$4662 min
12/9/2025, 3:30:40 PM2 trades$4380 min
12/9/2025, 3:39:16 PM3 trades$3955 min
12/31/2025, 7:18:31 PM2 trades$3871 min
12/11/2025, 5:56:43 PM5 trades$3787 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
11-28
12-19
01-10
02-09
04-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.9 / M11.2 / H45.9