NoPeeking

@NoPeeking

#3,060,96421

0xffd21411e46b606fe4a4e6843f6656aea1e7d7ae

~420d· 1041 markets · 7892 tradesVol: $852,3272026-08-04 18:10:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (413/1001)5.6/20
0.86x (win $60,374 / loss $69,864)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8870/15
Sortino -1.0940/10
$-0.0361 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 120 (1001 markets)10/10
140/300 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 191% of peak ($21,438 / $11,244)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Whale
$262,522 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,734$-2,655Vol: $325,093
📈 ECONOMICS#682,529$-6,854Vol: $248,860
SPORTS#1,868,343$-3,876Vol: $196,927
🎭 CULTURE#5,572$861Vol: $34,477
💻 TECH#815$2,096Vol: $26,758
📢 MENTIONS#174,708$-856Vol: $10,352
💰 FINANCE#650,510$-529Vol: $5,085
CRYPTO#79,867$130Vol: $1,800
🌤️ WEATHER#11,749$38Vol: $1,408

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,658
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$852,327
Total Redeem
$2,435
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1041
total markets
Trades
6754B / 1138S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~420d

Periods

#2
Today
$715
Vol: $0
Week
$750
Vol: $0
Month
$749
Vol: $0
All Time
$-11,658
Vol: $852,327

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
413W / 588L events
Realized PnL
$-11,686
Win Rate
41%
413W / 588L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$146
Avg Loss
$-119

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,994 (0.5984595070799178% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2,874
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$2,222
OpenAI browser by October 31?$1,898
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,750
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1,660
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1,397
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$1,212
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after November 2025 meeting?$1,144
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$1,050
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverev$1,005

Top Losers

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$-3,793
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$-3,734
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$-2,228
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$-2,115
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)$-1,776
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,613
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-1,534
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?$-1,506
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$-1,344
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$-1,339

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 755s — normal for humanCV 3.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)32.3%

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 1:23:22 PM38 trades$10,5329 min
10/30/2025, 1:56:29 AM3 trades$6,8071 min
1/30/2026, 4:42:00 AM55 trades$5,27939 min
1/30/2026, 11:10:44 AM19 trades$5,20210 min
4/23/2026, 8:49:44 AM10 trades$5,2016 min
6/10/2026, 6:30:36 AM15 trades$4,56811 min
5/18/2025, 3:40:20 AM1 trades$4,4500 min
1/30/2026, 4:31:14 AM7 trades$3,3135 min
7/4/2026, 3:17:47 PM1 trades$2,9590 min
6/20/2025, 3:47:58 PM3 trades$2,5041 min
9/25/2025, 8:55:48 PM6 trades$2,40310 min
6/20/2025, 4:30:28 AM3 trades$2,1715 min
11/7/2025, 12:40:37 AM17 trades$2,15413 min
1/30/2026, 2:27:42 AM17 trades$2,07718 min
2/1/2026, 8:37:46 AM3 trades$2,0354 min
11/5/2025, 6:09:01 AM2 trades$1,9361 min
5/13/2025, 9:33:04 AM4 trades$1,9144 min
6/20/2025, 4:41:24 PM1 trades$1,8660 min
10/30/2025, 8:33:21 AM2 trades$1,7952 min
9/26/2025, 4:09:18 PM4 trades$1,7641 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
03-15
06-08
08-07
10-20
01-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 183 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.7/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.6 / M32.1 / H32.3