1235813213455

@1235813213455

#3,030,01446

0xdc394af7800ffe029351559f714e7cbd1e378ad8

~96d· 100 markets · 4367 tradesVol: $1,402,1742026-08-04 23:03:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (20/81)0/20
1.27x (win $245,515 / loss $193,605)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.64412.1/15
Sortino 1.29910/10
$+0.2183 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 924 (81 markets)7.9/10
12/45 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($151,477 / $202,980)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Whale
$237,757 invested
High Roller
$1,815/day

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,621$-3,768Vol: $1,007,709
CRYPTO#20,670$1,973Vol: $205,593
📈 ECONOMICS#679,301$-1,073Vol: $129,868
SPORTS#1,822,032$-889Vol: $37,330
🎭 CULTURE#10,850$302Vol: $17,800
💻 TECH#245,905$-61Vol: $3,577
💰 FINANCE#565,667$-9Vol: $160
🌤️ WEATHER#11,740$39Vol: $138

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,487
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,402,174
Total Redeem
$698
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
1101B / 3266S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

Periods

#2
Today
$-79
Vol: $2,548
Week
$-124
Vol: $4,532
Month
$-138
Vol: $6,145
All Time
$-3,487
Vol: $1,402,174

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
19W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-3,487
Win Rate
24%
19W / 61L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$12,276
Avg Loss
$-3,281

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $232,444 (66.66720300117879% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$220,125
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,368
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$5,951
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4,004
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,168
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1,924
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,343
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,313
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$985
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$508

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-110,716
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-19,339
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-17,248
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-15,640
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-6,763
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-6,064
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-3,605
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,996
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-1,478
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$-1,261

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.058
HHI
3800
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.7%
Top-5 markets
112%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 400s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity33 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
67.84
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)42.1%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 11:37:50 AM37 trades$52,3283 min
5/18/2026, 1:59:46 PM40 trades$25,4725 min
5/18/2026, 6:20:13 AM14 trades$18,4323 min
5/18/2026, 6:49:54 AM12 trades$17,1130 min
5/29/2026, 11:30:36 AM14 trades$16,2300 min
5/20/2026, 6:56:30 AM36 trades$14,5510 min
5/20/2026, 5:34:45 PM29 trades$14,4262 min
6/4/2026, 2:03:34 PM32 trades$14,1502 min
6/7/2026, 8:57:49 PM12 trades$12,1981 min
5/7/2026, 3:52:07 PM22 trades$12,0782 min
5/18/2026, 1:25:33 PM19 trades$11,3450 min
6/2/2026, 8:32:47 PM5 trades$10,6160 min
5/8/2026, 6:39:59 PM30 trades$10,4161 min
5/7/2026, 12:58:56 PM19 trades$8,6005 min
5/8/2026, 6:57:45 AM33 trades$8,5745 min
4/24/2026, 3:54:20 PM75 trades$8,07312 min
5/20/2026, 2:40:50 PM87 trades$7,9877 min
6/6/2026, 1:57:42 PM54 trades$7,8666 min
5/27/2026, 9:11:54 AM4 trades$7,4084 min
5/19/2026, 7:05:51 AM25 trades$7,3694 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-22
05-13
06-02
06-17
07-07
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 67.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.1 / M36.9 / H42.1