@1337matheus

#2,673,94415

0x4c917595fa9d3a9ab1c68a4cf740af68abc5b7f4

~34d· 468 markets · 3039 tradesVol: $288,7942026-08-05 04:07:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (36/466)0/20
1.01x (win $2,252 / loss $2,239)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0410.8/15
Sortino 0.1211.2/10
$+0.0043 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 216 (466 markets)10/10
5/33 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 223% of peak ($716 / $322)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#22,865$85Vol: $225,847
SPORTS#1,746,435$-217Vol: $47,544
CRYPTO#1,404,885$-56Vol: $6,897
🌤️ WEATHER#258,604$-18Vol: $2,661
🏛️ POLITICS#1,028,115$-3Vol: $500
📢 MENTIONS#136,887$-15Vol: $498

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-167
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$288,794
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
468
total markets
Trades
1987B / 1052S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
36W / 430L events
Realized PnL
$-167
Win Rate
8%
36W / 430L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,447 (8.663433327345668% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$937
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$384
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$126
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$108
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$97
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$70
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$69
Brescia: Fiona Ferro vs Ekaterine Gorgodze$65
Will AZ vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?$54
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$28

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$-152
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-98
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-46
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-43
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-43
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$-42
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in May 2026?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-33
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
0.007
HHI
165
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
24%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.3
Very active
Markets / Day
8.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.4m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading8.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)13.9%

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 7:05:31 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
5/13/2026, 12:52:41 AM25 trades$2,20719 min
5/3/2026, 10:29:00 PM270 trades$1,98680 min
5/3/2026, 1:10:36 AM29 trades$1,3849 min
5/12/2026, 11:48:18 PM57 trades$1,31916 min
5/6/2026, 4:18:18 PM12 trades$1,1171 min
6/20/2026, 4:20:02 PM24 trades$1,0715 min
6/16/2026, 11:54:27 AM13 trades$1,0414 min
5/13/2026, 2:12:57 AM73 trades$7889 min
6/16/2026, 2:17:08 PM48 trades$78420 min
5/4/2026, 8:09:22 AM6 trades$6740 min
6/13/2026, 11:25:00 PM74 trades$63030 min
6/14/2026, 7:54:55 PM28 trades$61010 min
6/14/2026, 8:28:28 PM19 trades$58012 min
5/3/2026, 1:02:18 AM7 trades$5663 min
5/13/2026, 1:59:05 AM13 trades$5228 min
5/17/2026, 7:58:51 PM4 trades$5020 min
5/4/2026, 10:42:54 PM19 trades$5016 min
6/17/2026, 11:20:55 AM6 trades$4190 min
6/12/2026, 4:07:54 PM2 trades$4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-09
05-15
05-20
06-12
06-17
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.2 / M3.8 / H13.9