148572738484

@148572738484

#3,074,69938

0x682db86f41a12d9292befded523564314c1f31ab

~199d· 237 markets · 14442 tradesVol: $5,831,4782026-08-04 20:40:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (175/237)20/20
0.13x (win $142,255 / loss $1,126,601)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5400/15
Sortino -2.5200/10
$-0.3388 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 407 (237 markets)10/10
59/93 profitable days (63%)8.4/10
Max DD 133826% of peak ($985,082 / $736)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 74%
DCA Master
Avg 82.7 entries/market
Whale
$2,905,608 invested
Consistent
59/93 profitable days
High Roller
$12,157/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,443$-366,195Vol: $5,440,375
💰 FINANCE#623,471$-62Vol: $263,284
SPORTS#34,323$1,161Vol: $127,819

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-365,096
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,831,478
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
237
total markets
Trades
8786B / 5656S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
175W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-365,096
Win Rate
74%
175W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$813
Avg Loss
$-18,469

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50,996 (0.13967937139151346% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18,069
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17,985
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14,942
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?$13,587
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$13,030
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$7,607
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$6,559
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?$5,732
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?$3,953
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3,631

Top Losers

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-282,670
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-279,280
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-139,933
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-85,841
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-77,184
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-61,440
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-40,814
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-37,475
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-29,247
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-18,779

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.081
HHI
529
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.273
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
40.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.9m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 3.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock60 trades/day — mass trading1.0 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
82.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.8%
Mid (20-55c)15.5%
High (>55c)54.7%

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 3:20:45 PM14 trades$93,53514 min
6/1/2026, 1:42:07 AM17 trades$90,3791 min
1/18/2026, 10:26:44 PM39 trades$76,61933 min
3/17/2026, 8:55:01 AM3 trades$48,0361 min
11/29/2025, 5:45:09 AM4 trades$45,6464 min
2/27/2026, 3:07:31 PM1 trades$45,3220 min
2/28/2026, 1:59:29 PM1 trades$45,3220 min
4/15/2026, 10:28:08 AM19 trades$44,6654 min
5/13/2026, 1:52:12 AM1 trades$32,2490 min
12/1/2025, 1:09:16 AM15 trades$29,92112 min
2/19/2026, 2:48:18 PM12 trades$29,8417 min
4/27/2026, 12:27:44 AM65 trades$28,0835 min
4/13/2026, 10:43:21 AM71 trades$27,7905 min
5/7/2026, 11:52:33 PM76 trades$26,3728 min
11/29/2025, 5:25:37 AM15 trades$26,2779 min
2/22/2026, 10:31:06 PM4 trades$25,0661 min
4/28/2026, 1:38:50 AM33 trades$24,9035 min
4/15/2026, 5:54:08 AM5 trades$24,68310 min
2/6/2026, 5:36:09 PM4 trades$23,8572 min
4/28/2026, 4:12:26 PM19 trades$23,0212 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
01-15
02-16
03-08
04-08
05-09
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 233 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 82.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.8 / M15.5 / H54.7