@2phut5phat

#2,987,2342

0x045b0fdf8f15ffe8bb187606d4cb14da00ac9ab6

~11d· 34 markets · 209 tradesVol: $71,5902026-08-04 19:18:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (9/33)0/20
0.64x (win $1,359 / loss $2,135)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0680/15
Sortino -5.0010/10
$-0.1011 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2012 (33 markets)2.4/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 219% of peak ($1,429 / $653)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,850,091$-1,686Vol: $50,499
📈 ECONOMICS#656,133$-81Vol: $12,322
₿ CRYPTO#1,326,693$-31Vol: $6,197

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,827
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,590
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
61B / 148S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
8W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-1,827
Win Rate
24%
8W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$151
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,124 (0.6152650447442599% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria?$428
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$373
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?$323
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$108
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?$56
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?$50
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?$19
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 United States?$2

Top Losers

Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti?$-600
Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Argentina?$-240
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-206
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Haiti?$-200
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti?$-200
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Saudi Arabia?$-198
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?$-163
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-140
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$-20
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.300
HHI
1676
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.9%
Top-5 markets
80.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1695s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule10 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.9%
Mid (20-55c)6.6%
High (>55c)29.5%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 6:12:16 AM27 trades$10,2761 min
6/19/2026, 11:51:31 PM16 trades$6,0202 min
7/1/2026, 3:18:17 PM2 trades$3,5000 min
6/30/2026, 4:48:52 PM8 trades$2,9335 min
7/1/2026, 2:37:55 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/24/2026, 4:39:02 PM2 trades$1,8750 min
6/21/2026, 4:23:53 PM7 trades$1,3643 min
6/23/2026, 4:46:11 AM8 trades$1,2762 min
6/23/2026, 4:00:47 AM3 trades$1,2140 min
6/21/2026, 4:31:47 AM4 trades$1,2040 min
6/11/2026, 3:52:33 PM7 trades$1,1682 min
6/28/2026, 3:42:05 AM10 trades$1,1510 min
6/22/2026, 5:51:58 PM2 trades$8190 min
6/26/2026, 4:29:46 AM19 trades$6742 min
7/1/2026, 11:44:34 AM4 trades$6251 min
6/11/2026, 11:43:46 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/23/2026, 11:10:26 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/28/2026, 3:34:56 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/1/2026, 6:54:08 AM4 trades$4291 min
6/22/2026, 5:15:55 PM3 trades$4100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-26
06-27
06-28
06-30
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.9 / M6.6 / H29.5