@418Imateapot

#2,687,78220

0xf2ddbbff7bc5193c5a17c9320886965b478482d3

~292d· 385 markets · 3389 tradesVol: $515,1982026-08-04 18:12:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (153/380)5.1/20
0.88x (win $4,999 / loss $5,692)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5830/15
Sortino -0.6910/10
$-0.0331 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 168 (380 markets)10/10
79/172 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 169% of peak ($2,019 / $1,194)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#29,537$427Vol: $209,641
💻 TECH#251,761$-152Vol: $107,079
💰 FINANCE#5,328$712Vol: $78,099
🎭 CULTURE#809,113$-782Vol: $64,542
CRYPTO#1,369,628$-43Vol: $23,736
📈 ECONOMICS#669,100$-206Vol: $22,131
🌤️ WEATHER#277,251$-54Vol: $7,500
📢 MENTIONS#76,121$-1Vol: $1,365
SPORTS#1,655,840$-85Vol: $1,046

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-181
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$515,198
Total Redeem
$36
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
385
total markets
Trades
2139B / 1250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~292d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $668
Week
$33
Vol: $668
Month
$28
Vol: $668
All Time
$-181
Vol: $515,198

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
153W / 227L events
Realized PnL
$-181
Win Rate
40%
153W / 227L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,121 (6.190057995028997% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?$530
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?$300
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?$291
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26?$266
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$179
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on July 31?$159
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$159
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?$153
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$152
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$148

Top Losers

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$-1,065
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$-777
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$-480
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-240
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-190
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-190
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?$-162
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-147
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$-115
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-97

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
165
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.7%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)10.8%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 11:57:54 AM47 trades$1,6277 min
7/10/2026, 7:57:26 AM16 trades$1,5642 min
5/20/2026, 8:10:47 AM32 trades$1,0255 min
7/20/2026, 12:12:57 PM15 trades$7885 min
4/30/2026, 6:25:28 AM14 trades$7376 min
5/25/2025, 10:34:05 AM2 trades$6720 min
8/4/2026, 10:51:02 AM12 trades$6531 min
7/13/2026, 9:53:16 AM2 trades$6510 min
5/6/2026, 1:27:32 PM16 trades$6284 min
5/19/2026, 2:52:29 PM22 trades$6034 min
5/16/2025, 1:11:48 AM13 trades$56918 min
7/4/2025, 8:47:25 AM2 trades$5364 min
5/8/2026, 11:09:34 AM9 trades$5075 min
8/4/2025, 2:32:46 PM6 trades$5066 min
4/15/2026, 1:19:34 PM2 trades$5000 min
5/11/2026, 6:42:35 AM5 trades$4604 min
8/1/2025, 4:09:06 PM8 trades$42713 min
5/7/2026, 6:28:56 AM6 trades$4186 min
6/8/2026, 6:24:06 AM10 trades$4141 min
8/20/2025, 3:15:48 AM4 trades$3979 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
07-16
09-05
10-31
01-05
03-24
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 353 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.7 / M12.5 / H10.8