@646Capital
#2,911,37590xc54ad215c349334060210b6e047ac68bd8be5a08
~50d· 125 markets · 622 tradesVol: $32,7262026-08-05 15:51:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (10/25)5/20
0.84x (win $711 / loss $845)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8010/15
Sortino -0.9930/10
$-0.0108 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2559 (25 markets)0/10
9/21 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 604% of peak ($663 / $110)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8📈 ECONOMICS#667,881$-185Vol: $7,594
💰 FINANCE#648,632$-403Vol: $7,418
⚽ SPORTS#1,393,091$-13Vol: $7,144
🏛️ POLITICS#1,491,764$-69Vol: $5,264
🎭 CULTURE#47,769$21Vol: $2,991
💻 TECH#251,906$-149Vol: $1,983
📢 MENTIONS#161,195$-75Vol: $287
₿ CRYPTO#251,081$8Vol: $45
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-864
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,726
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
380B / 242S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d
Periods
#2Today
$-58
Vol: $471
Week
$-262
Vol: $7,947
Month
$-343
Vol: $9,237
All Time
$-864
Vol: $32,726
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
10W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-864
Win Rate
43%
10W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-65
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $596 (0.6888968580815324% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$363
Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?$186
Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$47
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$24
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$20
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$12
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$10
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$4
Top Losers
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-551
Will Trump say "Whale" in July?$-61
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$-52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-50
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in August?$-46
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in August?$-20
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-16
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $87.5B by July 31?$-14
Will Future feature Morgan Wallen on "The Real Me"?$-8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
823
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
48.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3634s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)28.7%
High (>55c)61.3%
Sessions
#128/2/2026, 11:10:57 PM4 trades$5652 min
8/3/2026, 10:48:27 PM1 trades$5600 min
7/19/2026, 3:36:01 PM13 trades$4901 min
7/19/2026, 9:41:57 PM4 trades$4412 min
7/30/2026, 1:25:02 PM1 trades$3600 min
7/26/2026, 7:17:03 PM5 trades$3180 min
7/13/2026, 12:25:37 PM9 trades$3171 min
8/2/2026, 11:44:06 PM5 trades$2890 min
7/21/2026, 11:33:42 PM4 trades$2761 min
7/24/2026, 11:19:54 AM6 trades$2451 min
8/5/2026, 12:12:48 AM12 trades$2385 min
8/3/2026, 4:46:15 PM1 trades$2240 min
7/20/2026, 6:05:27 PM6 trades$2209 min
7/30/2026, 5:47:18 AM1 trades$2200 min
7/30/2026, 12:18:44 AM1 trades$2120 min
8/3/2026, 10:22:02 PM1 trades$2030 min
7/20/2026, 3:53:43 PM4 trades$2000 min
7/21/2026, 8:56:04 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/18/2026, 4:58:30 PM2 trades$1981 min
7/23/2026, 4:22:00 AM2 trades$1980 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-09
06-30
07-07
07-20
07-24
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M28.7 / H61.3