@66germ

#450,0097

0x6a63718fba8ae095a31105628fa140c98b53376c

~10d· 12 markets · 64 tradesVol: $3,8472026-08-05 17:24:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (4/12)1.7/20
0.96x (win $54 / loss $57)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4080/15
Sortino -0.5720/10
$-0.0363 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3123 (12 markets)0/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 190% of peak ($26 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+15
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#604,520$-11Vol: $1,270
🏛️ POLITICS#163,463$11Vol: $877
🌤️ WEATHER#12,238$36Vol: $874
🎭 CULTURE#528,018$-1Vol: $500
💰 FINANCE#577,411$-11Vol: $141
💻 TECH#202,012$-2Vol: $109
₿ CRYPTO#968,792$-3Vol: $39
⚽ SPORTS#444,945$1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,847
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
16B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$15
Vol: $3,847

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
4W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$15
Win Rate
33%
4W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51 (3.4569892473118276% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 3?$13
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?$5
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-20
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?$-11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?$-10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-10
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$-2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.020
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
1952
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.9%
Top-5 markets
81.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1h
between trades
Night Trading
59%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20477s — normal for humanCV 1.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)59% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.67
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)18.8%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 7:13:20 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/14/2026, 12:58:58 AM31 trades$893 min
5/19/2026, 2:21:43 PM2 trades$830 min
5/19/2026, 2:11:39 PM5 trades$470 min
5/14/2026, 7:58:37 AM2 trades$390 min
5/19/2026, 8:47:18 PM2 trades$360 min
5/13/2026, 11:52:31 PM2 trades$310 min
5/14/2026, 8:07:03 AM3 trades$260 min
5/13/2026, 7:33:16 PM2 trades$220 min
7/2/2026, 9:46:10 PM2 trades$120 min
6/26/2026, 5:20:29 AM2 trades$90 min
6/24/2026, 11:44:02 PM2 trades$40 min
6/25/2026, 5:25:19 AM2 trades$40 min
6/24/2026, 12:03:47 AM3 trades$20 min
5/29/2026, 8:49:10 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
05-14
05-16
05-19
05-29
06-25
06-26
07-02
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.5 / M18.8 / H18.8