@844forcesb

#29,45872

0x82edc43f83880428b3d7164fc6c455cfbe7225a4

~26d· 46 markets · 234 tradesVol: $73,1692026-08-04 22:59:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (15/43)2.4/20
4.59x (win $6,989 / loss $1,522)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.81715/15
Sortino 43.41310/10
$+0.8949 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 989 (43 markets)7.6/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($355 / $5,682)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+4,157
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#663,652$-127Vol: $36,989
🏛️ POLITICS#7,704$3,748Vol: $17,200
💰 FINANCE#4,535$903Vol: $10,906
🎭 CULTURE#791,683$-165Vol: $5,320
💻 TECH#253,207$-202Vol: $2,753

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,169
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
193B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$-69
Vol: $0
Month
$-30
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,157
Vol: $73,169

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
15W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$4,157
Win Rate
35%
15W / 28L
Profit Factor
4.59x
Avg Win
$466
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,908 (0.9401450722353876% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,716
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$1,233
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$959
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$828
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?$817
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $27.5B?$555
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$358
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$139
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$111
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$104

Top Losers

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?$-142
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?$-131
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$-103
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$-100
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?$-99
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?$-96
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?$-82
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$-71
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$-67
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.400
Sortino
2.638
HHI
1319
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.900
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.8%
Top-5 markets
64.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
56% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 3.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.7%
High (>55c)32.6%

Sessions

#12
3/29/2026, 9:52:46 AM19 trades$2,1687 min
5/31/2026, 10:15:30 PM8 trades$1,8845 min
6/30/2026, 6:18:35 PM4 trades$7200 min
6/24/2026, 5:13:50 AM4 trades$6270 min
5/14/2026, 2:49:41 PM3 trades$2931 min
3/11/2026, 12:30:09 PM22 trades$2911 min
6/24/2026, 5:20:26 PM1 trades$2400 min
6/25/2026, 12:30:04 PM14 trades$2030 min
4/17/2026, 12:50:44 AM1 trades$1850 min
5/29/2026, 9:06:03 PM5 trades$1856 min
4/30/2026, 6:26:22 PM5 trades$1310 min
3/8/2026, 9:07:33 PM3 trades$1143 min
4/17/2026, 1:05:40 AM1 trades$1120 min
4/3/2026, 12:30:15 PM4 trades$1120 min
4/17/2026, 3:18:58 PM8 trades$1061 min
7/10/2026, 6:58:14 PM6 trades$1040 min
4/30/2026, 3:11:02 AM6 trades$1000 min
4/24/2026, 10:08:06 AM3 trades$940 min
3/8/2026, 9:44:09 PM3 trades$873 min
6/9/2026, 5:00:06 PM3 trades$820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-03
04-30
05-09
05-31
06-11
06-26
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.7 / M5.7 / H32.6