@AMATEUR

#85,01346

0x72863e1e35e70a7760acb64a150d819b1e59559e

~90d· 229 markets · 904 tradesVol: $42,0002026-08-05 17:25:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (67/188)2.8/20
1.16x (win $2,016 / loss $1,738)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10715/15
Sortino 2.62110/10
$+0.0299 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 366 (188 markets)10/10
17/46 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($722 / $753)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+929
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#2,886$1,116Vol: $11,954
🏛️ POLITICS#1,509,537$-90Vol: $11,293
CRYPTO#132,950$46Vol: $9,965
🎭 CULTURE#40,638$30Vol: $4,807
💰 FINANCE#603,383$-25Vol: $928
SPORTS#1,480,573$-22Vol: $250
🌤️ WEATHER#209,392$-2Vol: $220
💻 TECH#240,418$-31Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$929
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,000
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
229
total markets
Trades
617B / 287S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $22
Week
$-43
Vol: $360
Month
$-88
Vol: $360
All Time
$929
Vol: $42,000

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
67W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$929
Win Rate
36%
67W / 121L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $886 (0.9530871638128653% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$593
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$196
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$96
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$90
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$67
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$55
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$52
US government shutdown Saturday?$51
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$50

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-162
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-91
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-74
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-63
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$-63
Games Total: O/U 3.5$-50
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$-49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.057
Sortino
0.139
HHI
207
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.9%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)28.4%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 2:27:30 PM9 trades$1,11015 min
9/18/2025, 5:20:56 PM1 trades$1,0390 min
9/7/2025, 7:21:28 AM3 trades$4615 min
5/24/2026, 3:30:41 AM15 trades$4595 min
7/24/2026, 4:10:07 AM12 trades$4323 min
7/13/2026, 12:52:22 PM5 trades$4260 min
5/5/2026, 12:14:22 PM4 trades$3924 min
8/13/2025, 1:07:21 PM4 trades$3403 min
1/30/2026, 4:05:12 PM7 trades$3026 min
4/8/2026, 4:40:31 PM9 trades$2926 min
5/24/2026, 4:15:29 AM6 trades$2823 min
5/22/2026, 11:50:55 AM11 trades$2733 min
5/22/2026, 4:12:41 PM4 trades$2422 min
5/9/2026, 4:55:01 AM4 trades$2404 min
1/14/2026, 4:48:24 PM1 trades$2090 min
5/21/2026, 2:37:25 PM8 trades$2047 min
5/22/2026, 4:06:53 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/20/2026, 2:42:56 AM2 trades$1800 min
6/15/2026, 12:34:52 PM9 trades$17710 min
5/21/2026, 10:24:39 AM1 trades$1760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-04
01-11
01-19
01-31
03-28
05-22
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 141 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.89/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.9 / M37.8 / H28.4