ARES69420

@ARES69420

#2,931,54822

0xcf3f5469c66e14e89761923ec222769ab0f86d9e

~102d· 400 markets · 1166 tradesVol: $60,4282026-08-05 03:23:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (180/387)8.3/20
0.61x (win $4,790 / loss $7,810)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6310/15
Sortino -1.7140/10
$-0.3205 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 618 (387 markets)9.4/10
46/94 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 818% of peak ($3,441 / $421)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,718,756$-152Vol: $42,871
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,897$-380Vol: $5,483
📈 ECONOMICS#673,721$-355Vol: $5,336
CRYPTO#1,338,641$-34Vol: $2,390
🎭 CULTURE#691,358$-10Vol: $1,831
💻 TECH#10,665$32Vol: $1,249
💰 FINANCE#623,537$-62Vol: $569
📢 MENTIONS#160,952$-74Vol: $448

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,035
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$60,428
Total Redeem
$596
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
400
total markets
Trades
723B / 443S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Today
$23
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $49
Month
$15
Vol: $68
All Time
$-1,035
Vol: $60,428

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
180W / 207L events
Realized PnL
$-1,035
Win Rate
47%
180W / 207L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,285 (1.2413516620458473% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$925
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$180
Spread: United States (-2.5)$180
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$162
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$124
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$114
Spurs vs. Knicks$90
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$84
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?$81
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)$81

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-3,396
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$-220
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$-220
James Comey arrested by April 29?$-201
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$-174
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$-170
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-143
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-119
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-102
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-88

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
1157
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.258
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.3%
Top-5 markets
51.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 1.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)46.6%
High (>55c)24.8%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 12:39:09 AM19 trades$1,0901 min
4/23/2026, 5:02:42 PM2 trades$1,0100 min
4/1/2026, 3:36:47 AM9 trades$9211 min
4/26/2026, 8:05:58 PM6 trades$6671 min
7/24/2026, 2:52:12 AM28 trades$6018 min
4/8/2026, 3:15:21 AM14 trades$4951 min
4/23/2026, 5:29:14 PM4 trades$4844 min
4/8/2026, 3:21:45 AM11 trades$4422 min
5/12/2026, 12:44:35 AM4 trades$4392 min
6/16/2026, 1:57:40 AM14 trades$41010 min
5/5/2026, 12:56:14 AM11 trades$3921 min
6/30/2026, 1:30:49 AM15 trades$3902 min
6/17/2026, 2:06:43 AM14 trades$3803 min
6/23/2026, 3:02:13 PM12 trades$3563 min
3/14/2026, 12:05:37 AM39 trades$35436 min
4/6/2026, 5:40:07 PM18 trades$3522 min
7/28/2026, 7:49:32 PM5 trades$2911 min
3/12/2026, 4:59:11 AM44 trades$29051 min
3/29/2026, 11:23:28 PM9 trades$2795 min
4/7/2026, 3:30:25 AM6 trades$2400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
03-16
04-02
04-29
05-18
06-20
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.26/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.6 / M46.6 / H24.8