@ARG-611
#2,131,387400xc6f5f24fa66f907de81ec36f54f5bde029ed24f3
~175d· 254 markets · 585 tradesVol: $2,7762026-08-05 00:39:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (164/229)20/20
0.65x (win $164 / loss $253)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8810/15
Sortino -2.0030/10
$-0.0587 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 128 (229 markets)10/10
86/124 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 326% of peak ($144 / $44)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 72%
Consistent
86/124 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,418,338$-30Vol: $2,423
💰 FINANCE#49,573$13Vol: $162
🎭 CULTURE#685,094$-10Vol: $84
📈 ECONOMICS#66,067$4Vol: $72
💻 TECH#61,838$0Vol: $22
₿ CRYPTO#613,163$0Vol: $7
🌤️ WEATHER#180,334$-1Vol: $2
⚽ SPORTS#509,624$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,776
Total Redeem
$63
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
254
total markets
Trades
396B / 189S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~175d
Periods
#2Today
$4
Vol: $20
Week
$5
Vol: $60
Month
$12
Vol: $70
All Time
$-23
Vol: $2,776
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
164W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
72%
164W / 65L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27 (1.1529260999572832% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$8
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$8
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$6
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$6
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$6
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$6
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$5
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$4
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-23
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-19
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?$-16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-9
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-9
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-8
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.063
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
17.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3615s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)90.7%
Sessions
#125/2/2026, 12:11:32 PM10 trades$595 min
3/29/2026, 7:51:54 PM1 trades$470 min
2/24/2026, 2:16:48 PM1 trades$440 min
5/3/2026, 5:25:36 PM6 trades$423 min
2/23/2026, 1:47:22 PM1 trades$400 min
4/25/2026, 3:55:30 AM9 trades$378 min
5/5/2026, 4:05:38 PM4 trades$361 min
2/28/2026, 5:07:27 AM6 trades$358 min
4/24/2026, 3:09:04 AM6 trades$333 min
4/21/2026, 4:03:52 PM6 trades$314 min
5/9/2026, 3:07:48 AM8 trades$245 min
5/1/2026, 1:33:28 PM7 trades$234 min
4/26/2026, 1:29:40 PM4 trades$221 min
4/1/2026, 9:50:15 AM6 trades$219 min
5/20/2026, 2:12:38 PM4 trades$211 min
11/19/2024, 7:38:31 PM3 trades$214 min
6/15/2026, 12:38:55 PM2 trades$200 min
7/24/2026, 8:46:52 PM4 trades$200 min
4/8/2026, 7:50:57 AM2 trades$200 min
11/24/2024, 6:49:11 AM4 trades$206 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
03-04
01-17
03-09
04-13
05-23
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M5.6 / H90.7