@Adiospepito

#244,0766

0x6fa06be8b645e0b25b6288c61693c80a60d917c7

~52d· 96 markets · 761 tradesVol: $102,5252026-08-05 17:25:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (28/90)0.6/20
0.88x (win $1,898 / loss $2,155)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5840/15
Sortino -0.9410/10
$-0.0607 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1813 (90 markets)3.4/10
14/40 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 137% of peak ($955 / $696)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+98
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#243,387$16Vol: $74,780
📢 MENTIONS#7,054$78Vol: $13,475
🏛️ POLITICS#52,918$145Vol: $10,113
🌤️ WEATHER#280,957$-70Vol: $2,440
📈 ECONOMICS#652,611$-63Vol: $1,405
CRYPTO#1,210,982$-15Vol: $240
🎭 CULTURE#79,521$7Vol: $71

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$98
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,525
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
263B / 498S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$98
Vol: $102,525

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
28W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$98
Win Rate
31%
28W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,435 (14.580953348917571% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,055
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$247
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$133
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$122
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$91
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$43
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$37
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$30
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$25

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-375
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-328
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-273
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-155
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-154
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-115
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-102
Will Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-92
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
1246
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.1%
Top-5 markets
66.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 415s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)50.6%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 12:44:54 AM2 trades$6,7370 min
5/15/2026, 5:40:58 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/15/2026, 6:01:32 PM7 trades$1,5180 min
6/24/2026, 12:08:34 PM8 trades$1,0771 min
6/24/2026, 3:26:46 PM6 trades$1,0081 min
7/7/2026, 9:29:29 AM32 trades$9082 min
6/13/2026, 5:43:25 PM13 trades$6457 min
6/25/2026, 6:55:29 AM15 trades$5120 min
6/24/2026, 8:13:44 AM16 trades$5064 min
5/8/2026, 2:43:07 AM5 trades$4291 min
6/18/2026, 4:42:59 PM15 trades$4101 min
6/13/2026, 5:09:37 PM12 trades$4012 min
5/26/2026, 3:34:11 AM17 trades$4011 min
6/14/2026, 9:51:48 PM2 trades$3700 min
6/25/2026, 6:36:25 AM14 trades$3521 min
6/15/2026, 6:02:06 AM2 trades$3330 min
5/19/2026, 9:15:20 PM8 trades$2880 min
6/20/2026, 2:52:04 PM16 trades$2828 min
6/14/2026, 7:29:57 PM10 trades$2531 min
5/17/2026, 11:57:03 PM4 trades$2520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-20
06-05
06-17
06-25
07-04
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.5 / M12.9 / H50.6