@Aergia

#2,451,36939

0x9e14776d5dbf5e8a00e5eca2c2ddfb7b877e5ada

~126d· 394 markets · 2735 tradesVol: $133,6492026-08-04 20:39:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (294/392)20/20
0.81x (win $565 / loss $694)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9040/15
Sortino -1.0850/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 230 (392 markets)10/10
65/99 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 2305% of peak ($228 / $10)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Consistent
65/99 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,491,216$-118Vol: $95,649
SPORTS#147,166$65Vol: $35,910
💰 FINANCE#100,633$2Vol: $1,491
🎭 CULTURE#726,777$-20Vol: $600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,649
Total Redeem
$173
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
394
total markets
Trades
1561B / 1174S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $11
Week
$-8
Vol: $11
Month
$-133
Vol: $6,647
All Time
$-70
Vol: $133,649

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
294W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$-70
Win Rate
75%
294W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183 (2.6101381176135554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$116
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score$35
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?$32
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$20
Gaeul Jang vs. Kamonwan Yodpetch: Total Sets O/U 2.5$20
Will Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?$17
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$15
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers$14
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5$11

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-189
Will U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?$-102
Bay FC vs. NJ/NY Gotham FC: O/U 1.5$-40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 17?$-36
Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 22-28?$-24
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?$-20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$-19
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$-18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 3?$-16
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
24.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)63%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 9:27:42 PM14 trades$1,5450 min
7/17/2026, 6:50:33 PM2 trades$5000 min
11/29/2024, 12:21:09 AM2 trades$4940 min
11/28/2024, 11:39:46 PM1 trades$4930 min
11/29/2024, 2:48:14 PM1 trades$4860 min
11/26/2024, 11:11:39 AM1 trades$4830 min
12/25/2024, 1:27:00 PM3 trades$3943 min
12/20/2024, 7:29:24 AM25 trades$3356 min
6/22/2026, 9:42:37 AM5 trades$3211 min
9/15/2025, 9:58:14 AM5 trades$2855 min
12/20/2024, 12:54:58 PM58 trades$24920 min
6/11/2026, 8:05:03 PM28 trades$2450 min
6/18/2026, 10:45:04 AM14 trades$2430 min
6/23/2026, 8:10:02 PM5 trades$2290 min
9/17/2025, 1:37:44 PM12 trades$21514 min
12/18/2024, 4:19:03 PM20 trades$21515 min
12/11/2024, 10:28:39 AM8 trades$2081 min
3/5/2025, 12:11:19 PM39 trades$2014 min
2/28/2025, 10:34:25 AM40 trades$2019 min
7/7/2026, 11:59:37 AM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-23
09-25
03-16
04-02
06-09
07-12
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 550 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.1 / M23.9 / H63