@Aghayev

#415,19934

0x17a43a47dd4f70bdb19c74b45f9ddcc46ba8b29a

~27d· 47 markets · 146 tradesVol: $17,379 @agayevs2922026-08-05 03:22:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (28/47)14.8/20
0.69x (win $1,128 / loss $1,637)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1180/15
Sortino -3.3450/10
$-0.0858 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 530 (47 markets)9.8/10
16/24 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 1243% of peak ($770 / $62)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+20
Consistent
16/24 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#72,802$299Vol: $8,783
₿ CRYPTO#1,558,959$-276Vol: $7,429
📈 ECONOMICS#544,519$-3Vol: $1,167

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,379
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
65B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
28W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
60%
28W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-91

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $384 (18.92406311637081% of PnL)

Top Winners

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$133
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$128
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$123
ÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Score$91
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$88
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$70
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to Score$56
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ET$43
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$38
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 11PM ET$36

Top Losers

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-396
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score$-200
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: Both Teams to Score$-200
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar$-200
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?$-149
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?$-140
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 10AM ET$-100
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-100
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5$-66
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.160
Sortino
-0.157
HHI
499
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
32.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1948s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)73.8%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 5:03:16 PM1 trades$7300 min
1/30/2026, 4:39:32 PM1 trades$7010 min
6/20/2026, 7:03:46 PM2 trades$6180 min
1/30/2026, 4:29:14 PM2 trades$5223 min
6/20/2026, 4:50:43 PM8 trades$4800 min
6/20/2026, 7:34:14 PM4 trades$4050 min
2/4/2026, 10:18:54 AM3 trades$3861 min
2/4/2026, 3:15:38 AM2 trades$3860 min
2/7/2026, 8:39:15 AM1 trades$3510 min
7/14/2026, 5:25:50 PM5 trades$3380 min
6/21/2026, 2:10:40 AM2 trades$3280 min
2/7/2026, 7:35:51 AM1 trades$3260 min
7/7/2026, 1:33:26 AM3 trades$3200 min
6/21/2026, 5:41:47 PM2 trades$2830 min
1/30/2026, 3:26:56 PM3 trades$2583 min
1/29/2026, 7:05:34 PM1 trades$2480 min
7/14/2026, 5:32:07 PM2 trades$2220 min
1/29/2026, 6:21:16 PM2 trades$2041 min
1/30/2026, 4:02:44 PM1 trades$1800 min
7/3/2026, 4:47:59 PM2 trades$1670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
01-30
02-07
07-03
07-11
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 166 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M21.5 / H73.8