AiBets

@AiBets

#2,22964

0x21378fd64736103b01685aee2b1e5acfdc4f0677

~498d· 1940 markets · 23425 tradesVol: $13,046,6492026-08-04 15:07:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (1045/1922)12.2/20
1.28x (win $262,507 / loss $205,464)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.27915/15
Sortino 1.47210/10
$+0.0191 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 265 (1922 markets)10/10
230/400 profitable days (57%)6.9/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($65,074 / $122,118)3.3/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+85,859
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.7 entries/market
Whale
$2,980,138 invested
High Roller
$2,258/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#2,337$25,150Vol: $6,745,137
🏛️ POLITICS#1,124$44,567Vol: $4,051,655
📈 ECONOMICS#3,067$1,015Vol: $1,503,870
🎭 CULTURE#665$12,750Vol: $500,925
💻 TECH#2,666$380Vol: $50,426
CRYPTO#60,591$232Vol: $33,316
📢 MENTIONS#2,110$528Vol: $17,015
💰 FINANCE#622,255$-59Vol: $13,428
🌤️ WEATHER#284,444$-96Vol: $777

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$85,859
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,046,649
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1940
total markets
Trades
16472B / 6953S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~498d

Periods

#2
Today
$32
Vol: $0
Week
$-65
Vol: $0
Month
$-103
Vol: $0
All Time
$85,859
Vol: $13,046,649

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
1045W / 877L events
Realized PnL
$85,859
Win Rate
54%
1045W / 877L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$251
Avg Loss
$-241

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,478 (0.4132141703672153% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16,147
Nets vs. Cavaliers$10,479
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$8,852
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$8,618
Wizards vs. Pistons$5,636
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$3,650
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?$3,554
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?$3,513
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?$3,490
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3,329

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31,945
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16,903
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$-11,200
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-9,252
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-8,297
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,896
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-4,380
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$-2,856
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2,834
Will inflation increase by 2.8% or more in November?$-2,532

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.051
HHI
223
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.1m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 5.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.1%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)21.6%

Sessions

#12
9/17/2025, 3:34:06 PM140 trades$244,98054 min
9/17/2025, 4:45:26 PM142 trades$167,22055 min
9/17/2025, 3:41:10 AM134 trades$127,70368 min
9/17/2025, 4:54:10 AM129 trades$111,73656 min
9/16/2025, 10:33:06 PM53 trades$83,12729 min
10/20/2025, 3:59:49 PM18 trades$54,5745 min
9/16/2025, 9:24:34 PM32 trades$48,40925 min
6/13/2026, 5:39:07 AM4 trades$41,3430 min
9/6/2024, 4:50:58 PM10 trades$41,2677 min
7/15/2026, 10:11:38 PM65 trades$32,9144 min
9/6/2024, 5:46:50 PM10 trades$29,97915 min
3/1/2026, 1:34:13 AM22 trades$29,9105 min
10/23/2025, 4:57:33 PM1 trades$27,8640 min
12/6/2024, 4:19:27 AM18 trades$25,95812 min
4/2/2025, 1:18:52 AM6 trades$24,9005 min
9/15/2024, 1:16:37 AM54 trades$24,43288 min
7/22/2024, 8:41:23 PM17 trades$20,89720 min
11/6/2024, 7:17:31 AM6 trades$19,44115 min
9/17/2025, 3:24:34 AM9 trades$19,4062 min
4/7/2026, 5:12:01 PM2 trades$19,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
02-12
07-30
10-15
01-06
05-16
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 269 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.75/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.1 / M24.3 / H21.6