Aiola981

@Aiola981

#2,903,1425

0x32b8241b552db56adf6844ded6113a3ad1c248a3

~6d· 13 markets · 39 tradesVol: $7,0372026-08-04 23:03:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (3/13)0/20
0.11x (win $156 / loss $1,449)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-1.6878 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3926 (13 markets)0/10
3/6 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 3579% of peak ($1,334 / $37)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,810,992$-682Vol: $4,463
🌤️ WEATHER#282,134$-79Vol: $2,293
CRYPTO#1,379,935$-47Vol: $269

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-801
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,037
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
15B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
3W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-801
Win Rate
23%
3W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-145

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $156 (0.19512926189584115% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$119
Senegal leading at halftime?$33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$4

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,334
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$-50
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$-10
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 3?$-9
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 3?$-2
Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Yosuke Watanuki$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.391
Sortino
-0.289
HHI
25522
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.940
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
159.3%
Top-5 markets
176.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 900s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)6.7%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:01:23 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/15/2026, 10:32:08 PM2 trades$7590 min
7/4/2026, 1:06:52 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/15/2026, 8:08:56 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/15/2026, 8:58:53 PM4 trades$1870 min
7/10/2026, 6:04:29 PM3 trades$1490 min
7/1/2026, 6:55:19 PM2 trades$1110 min
7/3/2026, 12:48:16 PM7 trades$621 min
7/3/2026, 1:21:59 PM4 trades$500 min
7/1/2026, 6:40:19 PM2 trades$450 min
7/1/2026, 6:31:41 PM2 trades$220 min
7/3/2026, 2:16:44 PM2 trades$170 min
7/3/2026, 12:37:14 PM2 trades$110 min
7/20/2026, 1:09:22 PM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
07-03
07-04
07-10
07-15
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
23.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60 / M33.3 / H6.7