@Alelthas

#2,778,3560

0xf63840fa6116b40a1c6f8f667372ddc8b8a52d28

~25d· 48 markets · 171 tradesVol: $30,6772026-08-04 19:58:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (10/39)0/20
0.25x (win $238 / loss $942)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0340/15
Sortino -3.9810/10
$-0.2992 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6548 (39 markets)0/10
4/18 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 567% of peak ($854 / $151)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#674,949$-433Vol: $21,956
🎭 CULTURE#43,343$26Vol: $3,961
💰 FINANCE#598,981$-22Vol: $2,647
🏛️ POLITICS#54,517$136Vol: $1,829
₿ CRYPTO#932,667$-2Vol: $250
⚽ SPORTS#1,064,671$-2Vol: $34

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,677
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
66B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$28
Vol: $0
Month
$28
Vol: $0
All Time
$-297
Vol: $30,677

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
10W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-325
Win Rate
26%
10W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $160 (0.49095161886002703% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by April 30?$70
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$53
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$37
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$23
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?$18
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$12
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$12
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$7
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$5

Top Losers

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-718
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-76
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-50
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85 and 89?$-15
Trump out as President by March 31?$-11
US military action against Iran before July?$-10
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-6
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-6
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?$-5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.205
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
274
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.897
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
26.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.1m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.2%
High (>55c)12.1%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 4:54:16 PM27 trades$11,1895 min
7/10/2026, 5:42:49 PM44 trades$9,6434 min
7/30/2026, 8:55:05 PM9 trades$2,0181 min
5/10/2026, 5:52:23 PM3 trades$5000 min
5/12/2026, 1:34:51 PM3 trades$1530 min
3/26/2026, 8:09:53 PM8 trades$14016 min
4/13/2026, 9:29:45 AM4 trades$1140 min
12/3/2025, 9:54:17 AM4 trades$782 min
12/4/2025, 8:28:17 PM2 trades$711 min
4/1/2026, 6:46:59 AM6 trades$463 min
4/30/2026, 5:50:12 AM9 trades$323 min
6/13/2026, 8:00:39 PM3 trades$210 min
6/27/2026, 4:05:41 PM2 trades$210 min
5/19/2025, 6:09:35 AM1 trades$150 min
5/19/2025, 6:30:23 AM2 trades$151 min
5/29/2025, 3:09:37 PM1 trades$140 min
4/23/2026, 3:37:00 PM2 trades$140 min
12/3/2025, 10:04:09 AM3 trades$125 min
3/4/2026, 7:16:07 PM2 trades$121 min
3/4/2026, 7:24:33 PM2 trades$111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
06-24
12-03
03-26
04-30
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 126 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.6 / M24.2 / H12.1