@AlexBarnicoat
#2,976,66340x8e1c04bc841ca031af92beddd0ad3aac34c487c3
~12d· 25 markets · 242 tradesVol: $174,2292026-08-04 17:18:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (9/24)3.8/20
0.26x (win $880 / loss $3,338)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.6650/15
Sortino -8.9880/10
$-0.6755 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3202 (24 markets)0/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 2547% of peak ($2,558 / $100)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
Categories
3📢 MENTIONS#175,171$-1,035Vol: $88,377
⚽ SPORTS#1,736,916$-194Vol: $49,538
🏛️ POLITICS#1,589,086$-391Vol: $36,314
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,620
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$174,229
Total Redeem
$65
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
98B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d
Periods
#2Today
$-82
Vol: $0
Week
$-72
Vol: $0
Month
$-92
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,620
Vol: $174,229
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
9W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-1,620
Win Rate
39%
9W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-238
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $737 (0.454875941241822% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?$339
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$297
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$100
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$79
Iran leadership change by April 30?$27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$7
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$6
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$3
Top Losers
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$-1,136
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-732
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-707
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-342
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-155
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$-110
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?$-59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-41
Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?$-20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.482
Sortino
-0.541
HHI
1125
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.672
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
66.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)78.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)14.3%
Sessions
#125/20/2026, 2:08:14 PM7 trades$16,3543 min
5/17/2026, 12:34:19 AM9 trades$7,8454 min
5/18/2026, 11:19:24 AM2 trades$7,4310 min
5/18/2026, 12:00:44 PM13 trades$7,0934 min
7/25/2026, 7:08:13 AM24 trades$5,6160 min
7/24/2026, 9:25:06 AM16 trades$1,9772 min
4/5/2026, 6:49:23 PM22 trades$1,8976 min
4/7/2026, 9:47:49 PM30 trades$1,1594 min
5/16/2026, 2:13:21 PM3 trades$1,1070 min
5/16/2026, 2:19:29 PM4 trades$1,1050 min
4/7/2026, 10:50:09 PM17 trades$8523 min
4/6/2026, 12:18:55 AM20 trades$7344 min
4/7/2026, 9:18:35 PM8 trades$5571 min
4/6/2026, 12:05:53 PM9 trades$5013 min
5/17/2026, 2:09:52 AM2 trades$4780 min
5/16/2026, 8:56:20 AM7 trades$4040 min
6/12/2026, 6:47:52 AM7 trades$3850 min
5/17/2026, 2:06:48 PM6 trades$3731 min
4/7/2026, 3:42:07 AM6 trades$2631 min
4/2/2026, 2:51:57 PM6 trades$1542 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-05
04-06
04-07
04-08
05-16
05-18
05-20
06-12
07-24
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 114 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.6 / M7.1 / H14.3